As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 67.0% in Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027? — $302 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 67.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.0 pts; past week: +24.5 pts; past month: +22.5 pts.
Since August 07, 2026, No has traded between 48.5% and 92.5%. It opened at 85.0% and last traded at 72.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.0% |
No is favored at 67.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 67¢ | 67.0% | -5.0 pts | $302 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 33¢ | 33.0% | +5.0 pts | $302 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 52¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$302 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York announces that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will pay reparations for slavery. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must come from Zohran Mamdani, the City of New York, or their authorized representatives, and must clearly and definitively state that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will issue direct payments designed to rectify or remedy the historical practice of enslaving African Americans in the United States, including programs addressing the legacy and after-effects of slavery where slavery or descent from enslaved persons is an express basis for the program. A qualifying announcement will be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether any payment is subsequently made, and regardless of whether the announcement is later withdrawn, modified, or revoked. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 81 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 81 | $27 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 60 | $40 |
| Mammoth-Rethinking | No | 16 | $11 |
| Agreeable-Impudence | No | 6 | $4 |
| Entire-Rethinking | Yes | 1 | $0 |
| Tight-Veteran | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 12:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 12:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $11 |
| Aug 29, 05:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $8 |
| Aug 29, 05:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $8 |
| Aug 26, 11:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $5 |
| Aug 17, 12:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $18 |
| Aug 10, 09:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $18 |
| Aug 10, 09:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $31 |
| Aug 10, 09:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.7% | $5 |
| Aug 10, 07:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 67.0%. Next is Yes at 33.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mamdani-announces-reparations-by-march-31-2027-20260807174316245?via=bro
$302 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 67.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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