Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.5% in Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31? — $1.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
96%
A 95.5% price implies roughly a 96-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.2 pts7D +0.9 pts30D −5.1 pts
No95.5%
Yes4.5%
Bid
3¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since June 29, 2026: 50.5% – 96.5% · Opened at 50.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
Category
nyc, Zohran, Mamdani, Politics, NYC Mayor, New York City, Zohran Mamdani
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$1.6K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$10.3K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 95.5%
Resolution source
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: -5.1 pts.

Since June 29, 2026, No has traded between 50.5% and 96.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 95.3%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202696.5%
Oct 18, 202696.5%
Oct 19, 202696.5%
Oct 20, 202696.5%
Oct 22, 202695.3%
Oct 23, 202695.5%
Oct 24, 202695.3%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 95.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No96¢95.5%+0.2 pts$1.6K100.0%
Yes4¢4.5%-0.2 pts$1.6K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Zohran Mamdani has proposed creating city owned grocery stores to combat rising prices (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the City of New York during the Mamdani administration implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify. Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify. Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 807 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Pure-ThreatNo807$771
Snappy-RoosterYes361$16
Fluffy-HoseYes240$11
Belated-GlueYes77$3
Grim-GarageYes70$3
Blue-BendYes27$1
Evil-RowYes21$1
Plump-ImplementationYes20$1
Untried-BudgetNo19$18
Darling-TopNo15$14

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $648 at 80.3%BUY No — $19 at 94.0%BUY No — $19 at 93.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 05:25 PM ETYesBUY5.8%$1
Oct 06, 08:54 PM ETYesSELL4.0%$1
Sep 28, 10:07 PM ETYesSELL5.0%$3
Sep 27, 08:44 PM ETYesSELL5.0%$1
Sep 27, 08:43 PM ETYesSELL6.0%$2
Sep 26, 04:09 AM ETYesSELL5.0%$1
Sep 26, 02:04 AM ETNoBUY94.0%$19
Sep 26, 02:04 AM ETYesSELL6.8%$3
Sep 25, 05:59 PM ETNoBUY93.0%$19
Sep 25, 05:59 PM ETYesSELL8.0%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.5%. Next is Yes at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mamdani-opens-city-owned-grocery-store-by-december-31-20260628213717626?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31??

$1.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html.

What is the most likely outcome of Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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