As of October 24, 2026, 09:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.5% in Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31? — $1.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: -5.1 pts.
Since June 29, 2026, No has traded between 50.5% and 96.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 95.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.3% |
No is favored at 95.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 95.5% | +0.2 pts | $1.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 4.5% | -0.2 pts | $1.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Zohran Mamdani has proposed creating city owned grocery stores to combat rising prices (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the City of New York during the Mamdani administration implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify. Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify. Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 807 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pure-Threat | No | 807 | $771 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 361 | $16 |
| Fluffy-Hose | Yes | 240 | $11 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 77 | $3 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 70 | $3 |
| Blue-Bend | Yes | 27 | $1 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 21 | $1 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| Untried-Budget | No | 19 | $18 |
| Darling-Top | No | 15 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.8% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 08:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Sep 28, 10:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $3 |
| Sep 27, 08:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Sep 27, 08:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $2 |
| Sep 26, 04:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Sep 26, 02:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $19 |
| Sep 26, 02:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.8% | $3 |
| Sep 25, 05:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $19 |
| Sep 25, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.5%. Next is Yes at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mamdani-opens-city-owned-grocery-store-by-december-31-20260628213717626?via=bro
$1.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html.
No, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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