As of October 24, 2026, 09:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 39.5% in Mamdani visits the White House by...? — $1.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 39.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -8.0 pts; past week: -8.0 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, December 31 has traded between 28.0% and 48.5%. It opened at 29.0% and last traded at 39.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 39.5% |
December 31 is favored at 39.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 40¢ | 39.5% | -8.0 pts | $112 | 7.0% |
| October 31 | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $808 | 50.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 65¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 72¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani physically visits the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any reason by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 56 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 56 | $22 |
| Known-Use | No | 20 | $12 |
| 0xc0bce43f… | No | 20 | $12 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 16 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 09:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 04:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 01:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $5 |
| Oct 12, 01:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $26 |
| Oct 11, 01:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $4 |
| Oct 10, 11:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $48 |
| Oct 08, 10:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $14 |
| Oct 08, 10:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $12 |
| Oct 08, 10:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $10 |
| Oct 08, 07:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 39.5%. Next is October 31 at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mamdani-visits-the-white-house-by?via=bro
$1.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 39.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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