As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 18 at 21.5% in Manchester City punishment announced by...? — $51.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 18, is priced at 21.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +8.0 pts.
Since September 26, 2026, December 18 has traded between 13.5% and 54.5%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 21.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 17.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 21.5% |
December 18 is favored at 21.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 18 | 22¢ | 21.5% | — | $11.5K | 22.1% |
| December 4 | 18¢ | 17.5% | — | $11.4K | 22.0% |
| November 20 | 14¢ | 14.5% | — | $13.3K | 25.7% |
| November 6 | 8¢ | 7.8% | -0.1 pts | $3.6K | 6.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 21¢ / ask 22¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$51.8K has been traded on this event in total, $694 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sanctions imposed on Manchester City FC by the independent Regulatory Commission for the breaches found in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case) are officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of the sanctions set by the independent Regulatory Commission will count, regardless of whether they are later appealed, including a decision that no sanction will be imposed. If sanctions are announced in stages, the first official announcement of any sanction will count. An announcement of the findings of breach without any corresponding sanction, reports or leaks of expected sanctions, and sanctions for any other matter will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,741 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pure-Threat | No | 1,741 | $1.4K |
| Wilted-Clip | Yes | 400 | $86 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 329 | $71 |
| Violet-Discussion-Lock | Yes | 268 | $58 |
| Robust-Twins | Yes | 250 | $54 |
| Snappy-Dynamics | No | 180 | $141 |
| Minty-Maternity | Yes | 179 | $38 |
| Same-Plow | No | 125 | $98 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 105 | $22 |
| Writhing-Round | Yes | 100 | $22 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 01:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 10:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $35 |
| Oct 22, 08:56 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $40 |
| Oct 22, 04:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 03:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $440 |
| Oct 21, 11:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 18 at 21.5%. Next is December 4 at 17.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/manchester-city-punishment-announced-by?via=bro
$51.8K in total volume, with $694 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 18, priced at 21.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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