Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Maryland Governor Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Wes Moore (D) at 97.6% in Maryland Governor Election Winner — $24.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $18.
Leading outcome
Wes Moore (D)
98%
A 97.6% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.1 pts7D −0.1 pts30D +1.0 pts
Wes Moore (D)97.6%
Dan Cox (R)2.2%
Bid
97¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 13, 2025: 50.0% – 99.2% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Maryland Governor Election Winner
Category
Maryland Midterm, Governor Elections, Midterms, US Election, Politics, Elections
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$24.4K
Volume (24h)
$18
Liquidity
$82.8K
Markets
13
Leading outcome
Wes Moore (D) — 97.6%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Wes Moore (D), is priced at 97.6%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.

Since October 13, 2025, Wes Moore (D) has traded between 50.0% and 99.2%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 97.7%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202697.8%
Oct 17, 202697.7%
Oct 18, 202697.7%
Oct 19, 202697.4%
Oct 20, 202697.9%
Oct 22, 202697.8%
Oct 23, 202697.7%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Wes Moore (D) is favored at 97.6%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Wes Moore (D)98¢97.6%-0.1 pts$15.1K61.8%
Dan Cox (R)2¢2.2%+0.1 pts$9.3K38.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$24.4K has been traded on this event in total, $18 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,036 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Little-GoldNo3,036$73
Cheery-PreparationYes1,925$1.9K
Ample-InstanceYes1,794$1.8K
0xa5ef39c3…No1,747$42
Legitimate-AirmanYes1,139$1.1K
Handy-RuffleYes753$735
Grown-FenceNo542$13
Woeful-Wrinkle-ApproachYes250$244
Bossy-WastingYes229$224
Belated-GlueNo174$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $587 at 97.1%BUY Yes — $128 at 98.2%BUY No — $63 at 96.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:31 AM ETNoBUY98.1%$10
Oct 24, 08:31 AM ETNoBUY98.1%$8
Oct 20, 05:48 PM ETNoBUY98.6%$20
Oct 20, 12:25 PM ETNoBUY2.6%$0
Oct 20, 12:25 PM ETYesBUY2.7%$1
Oct 15, 10:35 AM ETYesSELL96.9%$26
Oct 13, 05:34 PM ETYesSELL97.9%$22
Oct 12, 11:57 PM ETYesBUY1.3%$0
Oct 12, 04:58 PM ETYesSELL97.3%$5
Oct 10, 09:20 AM ETNoBUY99.0%$31

Related markets

More Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 83.8% · 24H VOL $2.01M

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $649.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Maryland Governor Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Wes Moore (D) at 97.6%. Next is Dan Cox (R) at 2.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/maryland-governor-winner-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Maryland Governor Election Winner?

$24.4K in total volume, with $18 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.

When does Maryland Governor Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Maryland Governor Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Wes Moore (D), priced at 97.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.