Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 75.0% in Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure? — $2.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $156.
Leading outcome
No
75%
A 75.0% price implies roughly a 75-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −6.0 pts7D −13.5 pts30D −16.5 pts
No75.0%
Yes25.0%
Bid
13¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
24¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 15, 2026: 41.0% – 77.0% · Opened at 51.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?
Category
Midterms, Politics, Elections, US Election, massachusetts, Massachusetts Midterm
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.9K
Volume (24h)
$156
Liquidity
$654
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 75.0%
Resolution source
https://www.sec.state.ma.us/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 75.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.0 pts; past week: -13.5 pts; past month: -16.5 pts.

Since September 15, 2026, No has traded between 41.0% and 77.0%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 75.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202661.0%
Oct 18, 202644.0%
Oct 19, 202643.0%
Oct 20, 202642.5%
Oct 22, 202674.0%
Oct 23, 202668.5%
Oct 24, 202675.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 75.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No75¢75.0%+6.0 pts$2.9K100.0%
Yes25¢25.0%-6.0 pts$2.9K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 24¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 37¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.9K has been traded on this event in total, $156 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).

Resolution source: https://www.sec.state.ma.us/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 289 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes289$72
Tragic-MemberNo240$180
Periodic-DemandNo100$75
Expensive-Arrow-NightclubYes80$20
Prickly-EyrieYes56$14
This-WiretapNo50$38
Measly-GelatinNo43$32
Skeletal-LiverNo40$30
Plastic-DuckNo40$30
Oddball-PoisonYes36$9

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $103 at 42.8%SELL No — $31 at 58.0%BUY No — $28 at 70.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:37 PM ETYesBUY28.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:17 PM ETYesBUY24.0%$5
Oct 24, 04:17 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$16
Oct 24, 11:37 AM ETNoBUY70.0%$28
Oct 24, 04:50 AM ETYesBUY23.0%$5
Oct 24, 02:28 AM ETNoBUY69.0%$3
Oct 24, 02:27 AM ETNoBUY71.0%$11
Oct 23, 05:10 PM ETYesSELL30.0%$4
Oct 23, 12:19 AM ETYesBUY26.0%$5
Oct 22, 07:47 AM ETYesSELL28.0%$6

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 75.0%. Next is Yes at 25.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-passes-jungle-primary-ballot-measure?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure??

$2.9K in total volume, with $156 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sec.state.ma.us/.

What is the most likely outcome of Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 75.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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