As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 75.0% in Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure? — $2.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 75.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.0 pts; past week: -13.5 pts; past month: -16.5 pts.
Since September 15, 2026, No has traded between 41.0% and 77.0%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 75.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 75.0% |
No is favored at 75.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 75¢ | 75.0% | +6.0 pts | $2.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 25¢ | 25.0% | -6.0 pts | $2.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 24¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 37¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.9K has been traded on this event in total, $156 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).
Resolution source: https://www.sec.state.ma.us/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 289 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 289 | $72 |
| Tragic-Member | No | 240 | $180 |
| Periodic-Demand | No | 100 | $75 |
| Expensive-Arrow-Nightclub | Yes | 80 | $20 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 56 | $14 |
| This-Wiretap | No | 50 | $38 |
| Measly-Gelatin | No | 43 | $32 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 40 | $30 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 40 | $30 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 36 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 11:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 04:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 02:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 05:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 12:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 07:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 75.0%. Next is Yes at 25.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-passes-jungle-primary-ballot-measure?via=bro
$2.9K in total volume, with $156 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sec.state.ma.us/.
No, priced at 75.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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