As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo at 73.9% in Maynas Mayoral Election Winner — $28.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo, is priced at 73.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: +4.5 pts; past month: +33.4 pts.
Since August 12, 2026, Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo has traded between 5.5% and 96.9%. It opened at 16.5% and last traded at 74.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 67.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 67.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 74.0% |
Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo is favored at 73.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo | 74¢ | 73.9% | +0.4 pts | $10.1K | 36.0% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $1.5K | 5.5% |
| Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez | 3¢ | 2.8% | +0.6 pts | $5.2K | 18.5% |
| Ernesto Concha La Torre | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $1.0K | 3.6% |
| Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $2.3K | 8.3% |
| Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $680 | 2.4% |
| Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $526 | 1.9% |
| Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $618 | 2.2% |
| Deiby Marín Ortega | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $488 | 1.7% |
| Cleiver Inuma Chávez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $569 | 2.0% |
| Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $643 | 2.3% |
| Nery Mozombite Cerrón | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $649 | 2.3% |
| Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $536 | 1.9% |
| Jean Pier López Sifuentes | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $493 | 1.8% |
| Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $648 | 2.3% |
| Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $529 | 1.9% |
| Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $487 | 1.7% |
| Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $574 | 2.0% |
| Juan Aguilar Gómez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $460 | 1.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 47¢ (bid 50¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.1K has been traded on this event in total, $11 of it in the last 24 hours, across 46 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Maynas, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolution source: https://jne.gob.pe
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 678 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 678 | $177 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | Yes | 357 | $263 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 222 | $58 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 217 | $160 |
| Few-Sophomore | Yes | 186 | $138 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 185 | $48 |
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 161 | $119 |
| Tragic-Member | No | 136 | $36 |
| Impolite-Half | Yes | 134 | $99 |
| Astonishing-Company | Yes | 110 | $81 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.8% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 08:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 11:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.8% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 11:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.6% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 11:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.4% | $105 |
| Oct 19, 11:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.7% | $19 |
| Oct 19, 04:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.7% | $75 |
| Oct 19, 04:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.1% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 10:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 06:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.8% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo at 73.9%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/maynas-mayoral-election-winner-20260811165718694?via=bro
$28.1K in total volume, with $11 traded in the last 24 hours across 46 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://jne.gob.pe.
Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo, priced at 73.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.