Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.5% in McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? — $2.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
96%
A 95.5% price implies roughly a 96-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +0.5 pts30D −1.5 pts
No95.5%
Yes4.5%
Bid
3¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since June 26, 2026: 84.0% – 96.0% · Opened at 86.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
Category
Cuba, Business, Politics
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$10.9K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 95.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.

Since June 26, 2026, No has traded between 84.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 95.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202696.0%
Oct 16, 202696.0%
Oct 18, 202696.0%
Oct 19, 202695.5%
Oct 20, 202695.5%
Oct 24, 202695.5%
Oct 24, 202695.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 95.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No96¢95.5%—$2.1K100.0%
Yes4¢4.5%—$2.1K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify. The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 856 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Kaleidoscopic-HemisphereYes856$39
Amusing-GoodNo762$728
Belated-GlueYes215$10
Circular-Sandpaper-LarderNo167$160
0x1694413a…Yes123$6
Trained-SniffleNo100$96
Lopsided-RhetoricNo50$48
Messy-EyeNo50$48
Ideal-ArchNo34$33
Purple-SonNo33$31

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $124 at 95.0%SELL No — $58 at 90.6%BUY No — $47 at 94.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 06:11 AM ETYesBUY6.0%$6
Oct 19, 02:50 AM ETYesBUY5.0%$3
Oct 10, 02:03 AM ETNoBUY95.0%$5
Oct 05, 08:29 AM ETNoBUY95.0%$124
Sep 28, 08:54 AM ETYesSELL5.0%$0
Sep 28, 08:54 AM ETNoSELL93.0%$9
Sep 24, 06:38 AM ETNoBUY94.0%$47
Sep 23, 03:44 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$10
Sep 21, 04:06 AM ETNoBUY94.0%$6
Sep 18, 02:21 AM ETNoBUY94.0%$6

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.5%. Next is Yes at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mcdonalds-in-cuba-announced-in-2026-20260626010407076?via=bro

How much money has been traded on McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026??

$2.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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