As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.5% in McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? — $2.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, No has traded between 84.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 95.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.5% |
No is favored at 95.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 95.5% | — | $2.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $2.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify. The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 856 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere | Yes | 856 | $39 |
| Amusing-Good | No | 762 | $728 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 215 | $10 |
| Circular-Sandpaper-Larder | No | 167 | $160 |
| 0x1694413a… | Yes | 123 | $6 |
| Trained-Sniffle | No | 100 | $96 |
| Lopsided-Rhetoric | No | 50 | $48 |
| Messy-Eye | No | 50 | $48 |
| Ideal-Arch | No | 34 | $33 |
| Purple-Son | No | 33 | $31 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 06:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $6 |
| Oct 19, 02:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 02:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $5 |
| Oct 05, 08:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $124 |
| Sep 28, 08:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Sep 28, 08:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $9 |
| Sep 24, 06:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $47 |
| Sep 23, 03:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $10 |
| Sep 21, 04:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $6 |
| Sep 18, 02:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.5%. Next is Yes at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mcdonalds-in-cuba-announced-in-2026-20260626010407076?via=bro
$2.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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