As of October 24, 2026, 07:43 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 10.5% in MegaETH airdrop by...? — $2.65M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 10.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -3.5 pts.
Since April 29, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 5.5% and 93.0%. It opened at 42.5% and last traded at 10.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 6.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 10.5% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 10.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $12.9K | 0.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 16¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.65M has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,169 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zany-Tapioca | Yes | 1,169 | $123 |
| Virtual-Execution | Yes | 485 | $51 |
| Adolescent-Guilty | No | 417 | $373 |
| Horrible-Goggles | No | 400 | $358 |
| Unique-Primary | No | 359 | $321 |
| Pricey-Tofu | No | 285 | $255 |
| Monumental-Injustice | No | 267 | $239 |
| Misguided-Cookie | No | 221 | $197 |
| Brave-Cornflakes | No | 217 | $195 |
| Rowdy-Innocent | No | 207 | $185 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 11:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $28 |
| Oct 18, 11:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $91 |
| Oct 15, 05:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $141 |
| Oct 13, 11:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 02:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $6 |
| Oct 13, 02:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 12:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.5% | $24 |
| Oct 09, 06:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $4 |
| Oct 09, 06:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/megaeth-airdrop-by?via=bro
$2.65M in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 10.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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