As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $700M at 5.3% in Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $3.37M traded so far.
The leading outcome, $700M, is priced at 5.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.6 pts; past month: -2.1 pts.
Since November 04, 2025, $700M has traded between 4.0% and 95.6%. It opened at 80.0% and last traded at 5.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 4.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 4.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 4.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 4.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 5.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 5.3% |
$700M is favored at 5.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $700M | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.1 pts | $1.40M | 41.6% |
| $300M | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.3 pts | $90.4K | 2.7% |
| $100M | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $69.8K | 2.1% |
| $500M | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $24.5K | 0.7% |
| $1B | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.1 pts | $624.8K | 18.6% |
| $2B | 2¢ | 2.4% | -0.1 pts | $429.5K | 12.8% |
| $3B | 2¢ | 2.2% | — | $343.6K | 10.2% |
| $4B | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $383.7K | 11.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.37M has been traded on this event in total, $960 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,721 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Popular-Container | No | 4,721 | $4.5K |
| Infatuated-Occupation | Yes | 3,626 | $192 |
| Kindhearted-Bandwidth | No | 2,901 | $2.7K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 2,890 | $153 |
| Wiggly-Kettledrum | No | 2,808 | $2.7K |
| Grown-Follower | Yes | 2,717 | $144 |
| Complete-Restoration | Yes | 2,581 | $137 |
| Original-Perp | No | 1,770 | $1.7K |
| Willing-Minnow | No | 1,699 | $1.6K |
| Faint-Controller | No | 1,696 | $1.6K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 02:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:24 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 01:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.1% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $29 |
| Oct 23, 05:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 05:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $12 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $700M at 5.3%. Next is $300M at 5.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$3.37M in total volume, with $960 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
$700M, priced at 5.3% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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