As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 3.50% to 3.99% at 61.9% in Mexico Annual Inflation 2026 — $100.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 3.50% to 3.99%, is priced at 61.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.8 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: +28.5 pts.
Since February 09, 2026, 3.50% to 3.99% has traded between 2.9% and 71.0%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 61.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 59.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 60.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 67.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 61.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 61.9% |
3.50% to 3.99% is favored at 61.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50% to 3.99% | 62¢ | 61.9% | +0.8 pts | $13.4K | 13.4% |
| 4.00% to 4.49% | 18¢ | 17.5% | — | $24.5K | 24.5% |
| 3.00% to 3.49% | 11¢ | 11.2% | -0.4 pts | $38.0K | 38.0% |
| 4.50% to 4.99% | 2¢ | 2.4% | — | $5.8K | 5.8% |
| 5.00% to 5.49% | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $3.6K | 3.6% |
| 2.50% to 2.99% | 2¢ | 1.7% | +0.2 pts | $5.7K | 5.7% |
| <2.50% | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.0K | 2.0% |
| 5.50%+ | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $7.0K | 7.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 61¢ / ask 63¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$100.0K has been traded on this event in total, $115 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 08, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Resolution source: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,403 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,403 | $535 |
| Cooked-Dilution-Midline | Yes | 771 | $477 |
| Shadowy-Possible | Yes | 217 | $134 |
| Deadly-Premise | Yes | 131 | $81 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 126 | $78 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 104 | $40 |
| Dizzy-Lemur | Yes | 90 | $56 |
| Snarling-Inspection-External | Yes | 83 | $51 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 77 | $48 |
| Guilty-Carload | No | 58 | $22 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 01:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.6% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 03:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.1% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 09:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 09:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.5% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 05:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 52.5% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 49.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 07:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 37.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 05:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.5% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 05:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.4% | $23 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 3.50% to 3.99% at 61.9%. Next is 4.00% to 4.49% at 17.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mexico-annual-inflation-2026?via=bro
$100.0K in total volume, with $115 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 08, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/.
3.50% to 3.99%, priced at 61.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.