Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price PAN at 70.5% in Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place? — $86.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $43.
Leading outcome
PAN
70%
A 70.5% price implies roughly a 70-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.5 pts7D −3.0 pts30D −6.5 pts
PAN70.5%
PRI13.3%
Bid
68¢
Ask
73¢
Spread
5¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since May 21, 2026: 8.5% – 85.0% · Opened at 51.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Category
Politics, Global Elections, Elections, Mexico Election, Mexico, International Election Props
Scheduled end
June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$86.6K
Volume (24h)
$43
Liquidity
$61.5K
Markets
33
Leading outcome
PAN — 70.5%
Resolution source
https://ine.mx/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, PAN, is priced at 70.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: -3.0 pts; past month: -6.5 pts.

Since May 21, 2026, PAN has traded between 8.5% and 85.0%. It opened at 51.5% and last traded at 69.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202675.0%
Oct 17, 202673.5%
Oct 18, 202674.0%
Oct 19, 202676.0%
Oct 20, 202676.5%
Oct 22, 202668.5%
Oct 23, 202669.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

PAN is favored at 70.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
PAN70¢70.5%+1.5 pts$39.1K45.1%
PRI13¢13.3%-0.1 pts$15.4K17.7%
PVEM7¢7.0%—$13.2K15.3%
MC6¢5.6%+0.3 pts$5.1K5.9%
Morena4¢3.9%-3.4 pts$5.5K6.3%
PT0¢0.2%—$8.4K9.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 73¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$86.6K has been traded on this event in total, $43 of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

Resolution source: https://ine.mx/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,679 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
BelgaronYes6,679$4.7K
0xa5ef39c3…No3,903$1.2K
Untimely-FrescoNo2,854$842
Straight-ApprehensionYes2,000$1.4K
Verifiable-ObstacleNo930$274
Somber-PhraseYes799$563
Awesome-AvailabilityNo554$163
Awesome-Method-FitNo361$107
Each-TimelineNo300$88
Known-UseYes284$200

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $441 at 81.8%SELL No — $153 at 86.4%BUY Yes — $131 at 69.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:13 AM ETYesBUY69.0%$20
Oct 24, 06:45 AM ETNoBUY28.0%$2
Oct 24, 12:12 AM ETYesBUY71.0%$5
Oct 22, 06:09 PM ETNoBUY26.0%$5
Oct 21, 12:19 PM ETNoSELL25.0%$3
Oct 21, 12:19 PM ETYesSELL10.9%$5
Oct 21, 12:10 PM ETNoSELL25.0%$8
Oct 21, 06:52 AM ETYesBUY5.0%$6
Oct 21, 05:19 AM ETYesSELL4.0%$2
Oct 20, 06:52 AM ETYesBUY6.0%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is PAN at 70.5%. Next is PRI at 13.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mexico-legislative-election-2nd-place?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place??

$86.6K in total volume, with $43 traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.

When does Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place? end?

The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://ine.mx/.

What is the most likely outcome of Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?, according to Polymarket traders?

PAN, priced at 70.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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