As of October 24, 2026, 09:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 85.0% in Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 85.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: -4.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 31.5% and 89.5%. It opened at 31.5% and last traded at 85.0%.
No is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 85¢ | 85.0% | +2.0 pts | $1.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 15¢ | 15.0% | -2.0 pts | $1.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 20¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.9K has been traded on this event in total, $410 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, MGM Resorts is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for MGM Resorts’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.18 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if MGM Resorts reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.18 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If MGM Resorts releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MGM/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 709 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 709 | $602 |
| Frosty-Funding | Yes | 369 | $55 |
| Practical-Advent | Yes | 200 | $30 |
| Rubbery-Festival | No | 200 | $170 |
| Impassioned-Chastity | Yes | 150 | $22 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 50 | $8 |
| Spicy-Acrylic | No | 50 | $42 |
| Stale-Cashew | Yes | 40 | $6 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 39 | $6 |
| Evil-Row | No | 21 | $18 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 09:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $135 |
| Oct 24, 09:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $174 |
| Oct 22, 06:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 74.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 06:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 05:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $39 |
| Oct 22, 04:42 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.5% | $14 |
| Oct 20, 06:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 07:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 85.0%. Next is Yes at 15.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mgm-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-28-2026-0pt18?via=bro
$1.9K in total volume, with $410 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MGM/earnings.
No, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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