As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Chung Tung-chin at 90.2% in Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner — $27.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Chung Tung-chin, is priced at 90.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: -0.1 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Chung Tung-chin has traded between 88.5% and 96.9%. It opened at 88.5% and last traded at 90.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 94.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 90.2% |
Chung Tung-chin is favored at 90.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chung Tung-chin | 90¢ | 90.2% | -5.5 pts | $26.6K | 95.8% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chen Pin-an | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.4 pts | $1.2K | 4.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$27.7K has been traded on this event in total, $3.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,475 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Remarkable-Underpass | Yes | 1,475 | $1.3K |
| Superior-Format | No | 943 | $92 |
| baybug | Yes | 618 | $557 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 548 | $53 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 345 | $34 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 207 | $20 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 194 | $175 |
| Well-Informed-Scenery-Mission | No | 192 | $19 |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 182 | $165 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 154 | $15 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.1% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 01:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.1% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 01:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.7% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 01:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.7% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 01:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.7% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 01:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.7% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 01:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.2% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.2% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 01:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.2% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Chung Tung-chin at 90.2%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/miaoli-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716500?via=bro
$27.7K in total volume, with $3.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Chung Tung-chin, priced at 90.2% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.