As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Apr 30, 2027 at 92.5% in Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...? — $11.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Apr 30, 2027, is priced at 92.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +33.5 pts; past month: +41.5 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Apr 30, 2027 has traded between 22.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 53.5% and last traded at 92.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.5% |
Apr 30, 2027 is favored at 92.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2027 | 92¢ | 92.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.7K | 14.6% |
| Feb 28, 2027 | 83¢ | 83.2% | -2.8 pts | $1.2K | 10.7% |
| Jun 30, 2027 | 80¢ | 79.5% | -11.5 pts | $3.1K | 26.8% |
| Dec 31, 2026 | 70¢ | 70.0% | +1.0 pts | $3.6K | 31.5% |
| Oct 31, 2026 | 48¢ | 47.8% | -0.8 pts | $1.9K | 16.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.4K has been traded on this event in total, $773 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 112 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visible-Scenery | Yes | 112 | $104 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 60 | $4 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 37 | $34 |
| Fixed-Eaglet | No | 33 | $2 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | No | 29 | $2 |
| Known-Use | No | 13 | $1 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 12 | $1 |
| Hidden-Bafflement | Yes | 9 | $8 |
| 0x24efbab7… | Yes | 7 | $6 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 6 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 83.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 11:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 83.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 11:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 18.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 11:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.4% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 24.4% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $81 |
| Oct 24, 02:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 94.0% | $58 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Apr 30, 2027 at 92.5%. Next is Feb 28, 2027 at 83.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/michael-carrick-out-as-manchester-united-manager-by?via=bro
$11.4K in total volume, with $773 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Apr 30, 2027, priced at 92.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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