As of October 24, 2026, 07:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.0% in Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? — $78.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -2.0 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, No has traded between 86.5% and 95.0%. It opened at 93.0% and last traded at 95.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.0% |
No is favored at 95.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 95.0% | — | $78.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $78.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$78.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will not be relevant for this market if Michael Saylor is no longer Chairman of Microstrategy at any point. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 8,129 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fantastic-Carboxyl | Yes | 8,129 | $406 |
| Peaceful-Illusion | No | 5,100 | $4.8K |
| Female-Toughguy | Yes | 2,562 | $128 |
| Shocked-Brink | No | 2,304 | $2.2K |
| Cheery-Preparation | No | 1,474 | $1.4K |
| Immense-Businessman | No | 1,442 | $1.4K |
| Scratchy-Forebear | No | 1,067 | $1.0K |
| Illiterate-Regime-Stress | No | 1,054 | $1.0K |
| Rich-Try | No | 1,000 | $950 |
| Safe-Pin | Yes | 753 | $38 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $10 |
| Oct 17, 02:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $10 |
| Oct 12, 04:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $10 |
| Oct 09, 06:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 06:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 08:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $2 |
| Oct 06, 08:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $2 |
| Oct 05, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $0 |
| Oct 05, 04:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $8 |
| Oct 03, 05:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.0%. Next is Yes at 5.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/michael-saylor-federally-charged-by-december-31-2026-20260625210239195?via=bro
$78.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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