Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Mike Rogers (R) at 70.5% in Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner — $12.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $296.
Leading outcome
Mike Rogers (R)
70%
A 70.5% price implies roughly a 70-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +8.0 pts
Mike Rogers (R)70.5%
Person A50.0%
Bid
70¢
Ask
71¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since October 01, 2026: 31.5% – 77.5% · Opened at 77.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner
Category
Midterms, Politics, Elections, US Election, Michigan Midterm, Senate
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$12.4K
Volume (24h)
$296
Liquidity
$44.8K
Markets
13
Leading outcome
Mike Rogers (R) — 70.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Mike Rogers (R), is priced at 70.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +8.0 pts.

Since October 01, 2026, Mike Rogers (R) has traded between 31.5% and 77.5%. It opened at 77.5% and last traded at 70.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202661.5%
Oct 17, 202663.0%
Oct 18, 202660.0%
Oct 19, 202659.5%
Oct 20, 202662.0%
Oct 22, 202670.0%
Oct 23, 202670.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Mike Rogers (R) is favored at 70.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Mike Rogers (R)70¢70.5%—$6.3K51.0%
Person A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)28¢28.0%—$6.1K49.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 70¢ / ask 71¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$12.4K has been traded on this event in total, $296 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Macomb County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Macomb County.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 682 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No682$201
Adolescent-Hardcover-DifficultyYes372$263
Belated-GlueNo238$70
Expert-BonfireYes225$159
Rubbery-PolicyYes205$144
Prickly-EyrieYes68$48
Dismal-MoustacheYes63$44
Accurate-DecoderYes40$28
Impassioned-ChastityYes40$28
Known-UseNo38$11

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $92 at 70.1%SELL Yes — $81 at 60.8%SELL Yes — $77 at 69.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:25 PM ETNoBUY29.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:23 PM ETYesSELL71.0%$0
Oct 24, 02:27 PM ETYesSELL69.0%$3
Oct 24, 02:22 PM ETYesSELL69.0%$13
Oct 24, 02:22 PM ETYesSELL69.5%$77
Oct 24, 02:22 PM ETNoBUY32.0%$6
Oct 24, 02:22 PM ETYesBUY28.0%$3
Oct 24, 12:13 PM ETYesSELL70.0%$49
Oct 24, 09:10 AM ETYesBUY70.0%$14
Oct 24, 09:10 AM ETYesBUY28.0%$6

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Mike Rogers (R) at 70.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-macomb-county-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner?

$12.4K in total volume, with $296 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.

When does Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Mike Rogers (R), priced at 70.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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