As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price El-Sayed at 93.0% in Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? — $10.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, El-Sayed, is priced at 93.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, El-Sayed has traded between 89.5% and 95.9%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 93.1%.
El-Sayed is favored at 93.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El-Sayed | 93¢ | 93.0% | -0.1 pts | $10.4K | 100.0% |
| Rogers | 7¢ | 7.0% | +0.1 pts | $10.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "El-Sayed" if the "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "Mike Rogers (R)" option's hourly odds value in the "Michigan Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Rogers" if the "Mike Rogers (R)" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" option's hourly odds value in the "Michigan Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" option's and the "Mike Rogers (R)" option's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,754 shares of Rogers.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubbery-Spell | Rogers | 1,754 | $122 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | El-Sayed | 1,097 | $1.0K |
| Testy-Operator | El-Sayed | 733 | $682 |
| Piercing-Formation | El-Sayed | 403 | $375 |
| Awesome-Availability | Rogers | 256 | $18 |
| Impure-Township | Rogers | 243 | $17 |
| Hideous-Racer | El-Sayed | 200 | $186 |
| Present-Lambkin | El-Sayed | 200 | $186 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | El-Sayed | 122 | $114 |
| Bogus-Misrepresentation | Rogers | 100 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 03:06 PM ET | El-Sayed | BUY | 93.3% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 02:31 PM ET | El-Sayed | BUY | 93.3% | $47 |
| Oct 23, 12:35 AM ET | Rogers | SELL | 6.5% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 10:46 PM ET | El-Sayed | SELL | 93.8% | $89 |
| Oct 22, 10:46 PM ET | Rogers | BUY | 6.9% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 10:46 PM ET | El-Sayed | SELL | 93.8% | $673 |
| Oct 22, 10:46 PM ET | Rogers | BUY | 6.7% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 10:46 PM ET | Rogers | BUY | 6.5% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 10:17 PM ET | El-Sayed | SELL | 94.0% | $47 |
| Oct 22, 10:17 PM ET | Rogers | SELL | 5.3% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is El-Sayed at 93.0%. Next is Rogers at 7.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-favorite-on-november-2?via=bro
$10.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:00 PM ET.
El-Sayed, priced at 93.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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