Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Michoacán Governor Election Winner — $62.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $43.
Leading outcome
Candidate A
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.0 pts7D +0.0 pts30D +0.0 pts
Candidate A50.0%
Candidate B50.0%
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Michoacán Governor Election Winner
Category
Mexico, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections
Scheduled end
June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$62.1K
Volume (24h)
$43
Liquidity
$312.7K
Markets
49
Leading outcome
Candidate A — 50.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Candidate A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Grecia Quiroz49¢48.8%+4.5 pts$8.2K13.1%
Carlos Torres Piña38¢38.0%+3.0 pts$15.1K24.3%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar4¢4.2%+1.2 pts$2.0K3.3%
Gladyz Butanda Macías4¢3.8%-4.3 pts$16.4K26.4%
Raúl Morón Orozco2¢2.2%+0.1 pts$3.2K5.1%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano1¢0.5%-0.1 pts$7.4K11.9%
Marko Cortés Mendoza0¢0.1%—$7341.2%
Carlos Herrera Tello0¢0.1%—$1.2K1.9%
Gabriela Molina Aguilar0¢0.1%—$4750.8%
Celeste Ascencio Ortega0¢0.1%—$4300.7%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz0¢0.1%—$4910.8%
Esteban González Nava0¢0.1%—$5170.8%
Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza0¢0.1%—$5050.8%
Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna0¢0.1%—$5620.9%
Ernesto Núñez Aguilar0¢0.1%—$4470.7%
Germán Martínez Cázares0¢0.1%—$9241.5%
Guillermo Valencia Reyes0¢0.1%—$7461.2%
Daniela de los Santos0¢0.1%—$5530.9%
Adriana Hernández Íñiguez0¢0.1%—$5340.9%
Edna Martínez Nambo0¢0.1%—$5880.9%
Víctor Manuel Manríquez0¢0.1%—$5060.8%
Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes0¢0.1%—$6431.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$62.1K has been traded on this event in total, $43 of it in the last 24 hours, across 49 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,395 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No2,395$1.2K
Awesome-AvailabilityYes708$354
Fearful-CongressYes312$156
Known-UseYes275$138
Victorious-Tape-MaxYes182$91
Harsh-MacroYes144$72
Sparse-CookieYes99$49
Broken-IdeaYes95$47
Tepid-MonopolyYes85$42
Necessary-PentagonYes85$42

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $208 at 95.9%BUY No — $150 at 87.5%BUY Yes — $101 at 15.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 08:54 PM ETNoBUY50.5%$10
Oct 23, 07:39 PM ETYesBUY43.8%$10
Oct 23, 06:11 AM ETYesSELL35.4%$5
Oct 23, 06:11 AM ETYesBUY35.4%$2
Oct 23, 05:46 AM ETNoBUY63.2%$13
Oct 22, 09:18 PM ETYesBUY32.0%$6
Oct 22, 03:20 PM ETNoBUY60.2%$12
Oct 22, 08:00 AM ETYesBUY38.3%$8
Oct 22, 05:32 AM ETYesSELL5.5%$4
Oct 22, 01:18 AM ETYesBUY7.7%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Michoacán Governor Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/michoacan-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Michoacán Governor Election Winner?

$62.1K in total volume, with $43 traded in the last 24 hours across 49 markets.

When does Michoacán Governor Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Michoacán Governor Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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