As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 11.0% in Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...? — $375.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 11.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since June 30, 2026, December 31 has traded between 8.0% and 62.0%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 10.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 8.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 10.0% |
December 31 is favored at 11.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 11¢ | 11.0% | +1.0 pts | $4.9K | 1.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$375.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 408 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| High-Campaigning | Yes | 408 | $45 |
| Past-Laboratory | No | 405 | $360 |
| Mushy-Spiritual | Yes | 400 | $44 |
| Impassioned-Light | Yes | 302 | $33 |
| Stained-Defendant-Industrialization | No | 300 | $267 |
| Broken-Hermit | No | 218 | $194 |
| Questionable-Gray | No | 210 | $187 |
| Tiny-Equality | Yes | 200 | $22 |
| Giving-Task | No | 170 | $151 |
| 0xb180def4… | Yes | 140 | $15 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 07:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 04:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.5% | $8 |
| Oct 15, 04:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.5% | $11 |
| Oct 15, 09:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 12:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 05:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.6% | $19 |
| Oct 08, 08:34 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.2% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 10:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $46 |
| Oct 07, 09:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $3 |
| Oct 07, 09:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $44 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 11.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30?via=bro
$375.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 11.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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