As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 10.0% in Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...? — $121.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 10.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts.
Since December 04, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 8.5% and 74.0%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 10.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 10.5% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 10.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 10¢ | 10.0% | -0.5 pts | $4.8K | 4.0% |
| October 31, 2026 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.9K | 1.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$121.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 261 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gaseous-Percentage | No | 261 | $234 |
| Colorless-Fantasy | No | 111 | $100 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 102 | $10 |
| Forthright-Silk | Yes | 100 | $10 |
| Watery-Fitness | No | 82 | $73 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 79 | $8 |
| Peppery-Capital | No | 76 | $68 |
| 0x539b87c0… | Yes | 71 | $7 |
| Easy-Going-Homeland | No | 56 | $50 |
| Improbable-Responsibility | Yes | 55 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 09:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 05:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $10 |
| Oct 15, 12:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $10 |
| Oct 15, 12:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 12:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 12:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 10:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 02:49 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 13, 02:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 10.0%. Next is October 31, 2026 at 0.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by?via=bro
$121.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 10.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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