As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.6% in Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? — $167.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.9 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 86.0% and 98.2%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 96.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.6% |
No is favored at 96.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 96.6% | — | $167.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $167.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$167.7K has been traded on this event in total, $6 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,982 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terrific-Princess | Yes | 3,982 | $135 |
| Fabulous-Online | No | 3,600 | $3.5K |
| Sunny-Mix | No | 2,039 | $2.0K |
| Authorized-Database | Yes | 1,543 | $52 |
| Straight-Apprehension | No | 1,000 | $966 |
| Worse-Nit | Yes | 800 | $27 |
| Mealy-Hanger | No | 750 | $724 |
| Gigantic-Graduation | No | 606 | $585 |
| Motionless-Commonsense | Yes | 256 | $9 |
| Elderly-Fry | Yes | 232 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 09:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.2% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 05:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $116 |
| Oct 15, 03:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 03:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 04:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 03:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $2 |
| Oct 04, 09:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $10 |
| Oct 02, 07:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $60 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.6%. Next is Yes at 3.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/milei-out-as-president-of-argentina-before-2027?via=bro
$167.7K in total volume, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.6% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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