As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No actor chosen by end of 2027 at 84.0% in Miles Morales live-action film actor? — $18.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No actor chosen by end of 2027, is priced at 84.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +6.5 pts; past month: +70.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, No actor chosen by end of 2027 has traded between 13.5% and 84.0%. It opened at 42.5% and last traded at 84.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 84.0% |
No actor chosen by end of 2027 is favored at 84.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No actor chosen by end of 2027 | 84¢ | 84.0% | — | $12.6K | 69.0% |
| Actor A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alex R. Hibbert | 10¢ | 10.0% | — | $2.8K | 15.3% |
| Dallas Dupree Young | 8¢ | 8.5% | -0.1 pts | $1.7K | 9.5% |
| Caleb McLaughlin | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $364 | 2.0% |
| Miles Brown | 2¢ | 2.0% | — | $398 | 2.2% |
| Myles Truitt | 0¢ | 0.2% | +0.1 pts | $362 | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 80¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Miles Morales in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify. If no actor is announced as the live-action Miles Morales within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No actor chosen by end of 2027". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 826 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pure-Threat | Yes | 826 | $694 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 300 | $48 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 226 | $36 |
| Arid-Cinema | No | 148 | $24 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 100 | $16 |
| Charming-Grape | Yes | 51 | $43 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 51 | $43 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 51 | $43 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 44 | $7 |
| Courteous-Dwell | No | 40 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 03:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 13.0% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 03:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 03:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $8 |
| Oct 16, 03:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $27 |
| Oct 16, 12:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $11 |
| Oct 16, 11:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 15.0% | $8 |
| Oct 16, 10:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 10:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 08:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 08:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 11.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No actor chosen by end of 2027 at 84.0%. Next is Actor A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/miles-morales-live-action-film-actor-20260811225257154?via=bro
$18.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No actor chosen by end of 2027, priced at 84.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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