Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 53.0% in Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...? — $19.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $530.
Leading outcome
November 30
53%
A 53.0% price implies roughly a 53-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +4.5 pts7D −9.5 pts
November 3053.0%
October 3131.5%
Bid
52¢
Ask
54¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 12, 2026: 33.0% – 80.0% · Opened at 80.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?
Category
Iran, Yemen, Houthis, Politics, Geopolitics, Saudi Arabia
Scheduled end
November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$19.8K
Volume (24h)
$530
Liquidity
$41.6K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
November 30 — 53.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 53.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.5 pts; past week: -9.5 pts.

Since October 12, 2026, November 30 has traded between 33.0% and 80.0%. It opened at 80.0% and last traded at 53.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202666.0%
Oct 18, 202642.5%
Oct 19, 202633.0%
Oct 20, 202646.0%
Oct 22, 202654.0%
Oct 23, 202648.5%
Oct 24, 202653.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

November 30 is favored at 53.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
November 3053¢53.0%+4.5 pts$3.4K17.2%
October 3132¢31.5%+2.5 pts$4.4K22.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 52¢ / ask 54¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$19.8K has been traded on this event in total, $530 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if King Khalid International Airport (RUH) is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” King Khalid International Airport refers to the international airport serving Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (IATA: RUH; ICAO: OERK), including its runways, taxiways, aprons, terminals, and other facilities within the airport grounds. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike that impacts King Khalid International Airport. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 204 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Measly-CommotionYes204$108
Sunny-CaramelNo100$47
Uncommon-Gutter-StanceNo77$36
Attentive-CrewmanYes70$37
Tasty-ZamponeNo68$32
Evil-RowNo54$25
This-WiretapNo52$24
Oddball-PoisonNo40$19
Winged-MakerYes37$20
Tricky-UsherYes25$13

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $170 at 67.3%BUY No — $89 at 71.0%BUY Yes — $65 at 48.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:27 PM ETYesBUY31.5%$13
Oct 24, 02:30 PM ETNoBUY77.0%$15
Oct 24, 02:30 PM ETNoBUY76.0%$15
Oct 24, 12:23 PM ETYesBUY51.0%$61
Oct 24, 12:23 PM ETYesBUY27.0%$1
Oct 24, 12:23 PM ETYesBUY21.0%$18
Oct 24, 12:01 PM ETYesBUY21.0%$1
Oct 24, 11:14 AM ETNoBUY56.0%$11
Oct 24, 10:13 AM ETYesSELL49.0%$5
Oct 24, 09:16 AM ETNoBUY81.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 53.0%. Next is October 31 at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/military-action-against-king-khalid-international-airport-ruh-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...??

$19.8K in total volume, with $530 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

November 30, priced at 53.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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