As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 76.0% in Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict? — $95 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 76.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since September 08, 2026, No has traded between 55.5% and 76.0%. It opened at 63.0% and last traded at 76.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 76.0% |
No is favored at 76.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 76¢ | 76.0% | — | $95 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 24¢ | 24.0% | — | $95 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 42¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 45¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$95 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Resolution source: https://www.sos.mo.gov/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 95 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outlandish-Complicity | Yes | 95 | $23 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 48 | $36 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 47 | $36 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 09, 03:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $59 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 76.0%. Next is Yes at 24.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-passes-ballot-measure-to-redistrict?via=bro
$95 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sos.mo.gov/.
No, priced at 76.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.