As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Jacob Misiorowski at 98.3% in MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner — $1.11M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Jacob Misiorowski, is priced at 98.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.2 pts; past month: +0.6 pts.
Since February 19, 2026, Jacob Misiorowski has traded between 1.3% and 99.0%. It opened at 6.0% and last traded at 98.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.3% |
Jacob Misiorowski is favored at 98.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | 98¢ | 98.3% | +0.1 pts | $36.3K | 3.3% |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $14.2K | 1.3% |
| Chris Sale | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $15.2K | 1.4% |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $24.8K | 2.2% |
| Cristopher Sanchez | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $57.8K | 5.2% |
| Paul Skenes | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $31.3K | 2.8% |
| Freddy Peralta | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $112.9K | 10.2% |
| Hunter Greene | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 0.1% |
| Blake Snell | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 0.1% |
| Logan Webb | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 0.1% |
| Zack Wheeler | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $8.0K | 0.7% |
| Spencer Strider | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $751 | 0.1% |
| Spencer Schwellenbach | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $619 | 0.1% |
| Brandon Woodruff | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $108.2K | 9.8% |
| Jesus Luzardo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.5K | 0.2% |
| Nolan McLean | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $587.1K | 52.9% |
| Tyler Glasnow | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.9K | 0.2% |
| Michael King | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.1K | 0.2% |
| Nick Pivetta | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.3K | 0.1% |
| Nick Lodolo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $799 | 0.1% |
| Eury Perez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $96.5K | 8.7% |
| Mitch Keller | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $658 | 0.1% |
| Mason Miller | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.3K | 0.3% |
| Chase Burns | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.11M has been traded on this event in total, $33 of it in the last 24 hours, across 69 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,294 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 4,294 | $73 |
| Strict-Blind | Yes | 1,524 | $1.5K |
| Handmade-Sediment | Yes | 1,064 | $1.0K |
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 799 | $786 |
| Corny-Tenth | Yes | 484 | $476 |
| Honest-Similarity | Yes | 420 | $413 |
| 0xf7ae11b4… | No | 331 | $6 |
| Our-Dough | No | 253 | $4 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 224 | $221 |
| Frightening-Lever | Yes | 200 | $197 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 08:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Sep 15, 11:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $11 |
| Sep 15, 11:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $11 |
| Sep 15, 11:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $2 |
| Sep 15, 11:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $2 |
| Sep 15, 05:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Sep 14, 02:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $14 |
| Sep 14, 02:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $375 |
| Sep 10, 10:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Sep 10, 10:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Jacob Misiorowski at 98.3%. Next is Yoshinobu Yamamoto at 1.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-nl-cy-young-winner?via=bro
$1.11M in total volume, with $33 traded in the last 24 hours across 69 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Jacob Misiorowski, priced at 98.3% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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