As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Pete Crow-Armstrong at 98.6% in MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner — $179.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Pete Crow-Armstrong, is priced at 98.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts; past month: +1.6 pts.
Since February 19, 2026, Pete Crow-Armstrong has traded between 0.2% and 99.6%. It opened at 31.0% and last traded at 98.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.6% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong is favored at 98.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 99¢ | 98.6% | — | $18.0K | 10.0% |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $17.1K | 9.5% |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $96.8K | 54.0% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $877 | 0.5% |
| Sal Stewart | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $252 | 0.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$179.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,582 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tattered-Neighbourhood | Yes | 2,582 | $2.5K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,133 | $30 |
| Strict-Blind | Yes | 1,117 | $1.1K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 272 | $4 |
| Frail-Prayer | No | 198 | $3 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware | No | 178 | $2 |
| Expensive-Struggle | No | 150 | $2 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 149 | $2 |
| Growing-Classification | No | 148 | $2 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 111 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 03:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 0.5% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 10:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.5% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 10:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 10:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.4% | $49 |
| Oct 20, 07:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.1% | $12 |
| Oct 20, 07:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.8% | $49 |
| Oct 20, 07:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.8% | $10 |
| Oct 20, 05:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.5% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 05:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 08:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.7% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Pete Crow-Armstrong at 98.6%. Next is Shohei Ohtani at 0.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-nl-hank-aaron-winner?via=bro
$179.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Pete Crow-Armstrong, priced at 98.6% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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