As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price NL Central at 74.0% in MLB 2026: World Series Division Winner — $8.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, NL Central, is priced at 74.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +9.0 pts; past week: +8.0 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, NL Central has traded between 12.5% and 67.0%. It opened at 25.0% and last traded at 64.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 64.0% |
NL Central is favored at 74.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NL Central | 74¢ | 74.0% | +9.0 pts | $2.1K | 23.8% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| AL East | 28¢ | 27.5% | -10.5 pts | $1.2K | 13.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 77¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.9K has been traded on this event in total, $225 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the division of the team that wins the 2026 World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed division to produce the 2026 World Series champion (e.g., all of its teams have been eliminated from the 2026 MLB Postseason), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, each listed division's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 179 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tinted-Consciousness | No | 179 | $47 |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea | Yes | 177 | $131 |
| Rubbery-Paint | Yes | 97 | $72 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 66 | $17 |
| Narrow-Authorization | Yes | 60 | $44 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 56 | $14 |
| Accurate-Decoder | Yes | 47 | $35 |
| Frozen-Car | Yes | 46 | $34 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 43 | $11 |
| Powerless-Bijou | No | 42 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 29.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 08:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 29.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 29.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 73.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 11:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 11:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $28 |
| Oct 23, 11:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 67.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 10:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is NL Central at 74.0%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-world-series-division-winner?via=bro
$8.9K in total volume, with $225 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.mlb.com/.
NL Central, priced at 74.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.