As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Will Venable at 87.4% in MLB: AL Manager of the Year — $90.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Will Venable, is priced at 87.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.4 pts; past week: +7.6 pts; past month: +17.4 pts.
Since March 26, 2026, Will Venable has traded between 2.5% and 92.3%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 87.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 79.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 79.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 79.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 92.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.3% |
Will Venable is favored at 87.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venable | 87¢ | 87.4% | -1.4 pts | $17.7K | 19.5% |
| Kevin Cash | 10¢ | 10.3% | +3.9 pts | $27.2K | 29.9% |
| Craig Albernaz | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $4.1K | 4.5% |
| Stephen Vogt | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $3.3K | 3.6% |
| Alex Cora | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $16.9K | 18.6% |
| A.J. Hinch | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.8K | 2.0% |
| Derek Shelton | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.0K | 3.3% |
| Skip Schumaker | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.9K | 2.1% |
| Aaron Boone | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 1.2% |
| Dan Wilson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $7.0K | 7.7% |
| Joe Espada | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 1.3% |
| John Schneider | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 1.1% |
| Kurt Suzuki | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $897 | 1.0% |
| Mark Kotsay | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.6K | 2.8% |
| Matt Quatraro | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $802 | 0.9% |
| Chad Tracy | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $539 | 0.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 87¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$90.9K has been traded on this event in total, $667 of it in the last 24 hours, across 21 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,528 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,528 | $446 |
| Wide-Prospect | No | 2,658 | $336 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 1,728 | $1.5K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 1,648 | $1.4K |
| Other-Pumpkinseed-Crumb | Yes | 898 | $784 |
| Each-Summary | Yes | 816 | $713 |
| andy29 | Yes | 450 | $393 |
| Expensive-Struggle | Yes | 333 | $291 |
| Caring-Median | Yes | 286 | $250 |
| Dual-Cephalopod | Yes | 225 | $196 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.4% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 04:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.3% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:52 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.7% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 13.1% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.3% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.3% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 08:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 86.9% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 06:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 12.3% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 06:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 9.7% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 06:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Will Venable at 87.4%. Next is Kevin Cash at 10.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-al-manager-of-the-year?via=bro
$90.9K in total volume, with $667 traded in the last 24 hours across 21 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Will Venable, priced at 87.4% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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