As of October 24, 2026, 07:43 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kevin McGonigle at 93.8% in MLB: AL Rookie of the Year — $1.68M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Kevin McGonigle, is priced at 93.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: +2.4 pts.
Since March 26, 2026, Kevin McGonigle has traded between 22.0% and 95.8%. It opened at 56.0% and last traded at 93.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 91.3% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.8% |
Kevin McGonigle is favored at 93.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle | 94¢ | 93.8% | +0.4 pts | $70.1K | 4.2% |
| Parker Messick | 3¢ | 3.2% | +1.1 pts | $10.6K | 0.6% |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1¢ | 0.8% | -0.1 pts | $64.0K | 3.8% |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $231.0K | 13.8% |
| Carter Jensen | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $95.1K | 5.7% |
| Samuel Basallo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.5K | 0.1% |
| Trey Yesavage | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.9K | 0.2% |
| Tatsuya Imai | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $833 | 0.0% |
| Chase DeLauter | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.4K | 0.3% |
| Connelly Early | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $71.8K | 4.3% |
| Carson Williams | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $430.6K | 25.7% |
| Dylan Beavers | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 0.1% |
| Travis Bazzana | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.7K | 0.3% |
| Colt Emerson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.5K | 0.2% |
| Payton Tolle | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $195.7K | 11.7% |
| Walker Jenkins | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $64.0K | 3.8% |
| Carlos Lagrange | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $66.3K | 4.0% |
| Brice Matthews | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $141.1K | 8.4% |
| Spencer Jones | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $38.2K | 2.3% |
| Leo De Vries | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $112.1K | 6.7% |
| Max Clark | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $63.4K | 3.8% |
| George Lombard Jr. | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $231 | 0.0% |
| Sam Antonacci | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $231 | 0.0% |
| Gage Jump | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5 | 0.0% |
| Tristan Peters | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $361 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.68M has been traded on this event in total, $24 of it in the last 24 hours, across 46 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,954 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5,954 | $366 |
| Angelic-Enemy-Weeder | Yes | 2,067 | $1.9K |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 1,369 | $1.3K |
| Other-Pumpkinseed-Crumb | Yes | 1,137 | $1.1K |
| Automatic-Jar | Yes | 874 | $821 |
| Strict-Blind | No | 855 | $53 |
| Jaded-Mastoid | Yes | 745 | $699 |
| Respectful-Tattler | No | 694 | $43 |
| Known-Icing | Yes | 599 | $562 |
| JonnyA | Yes | 521 | $489 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 09:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $6 |
| Sep 23, 09:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $40 |
| Sep 22, 10:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $30 |
| Sep 22, 04:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $40 |
| Sep 22, 04:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $10 |
| Sep 22, 04:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $6 |
| Sep 15, 08:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Sep 15, 08:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $18 |
| Sep 15, 08:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $8 |
| Sep 13, 01:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kevin McGonigle at 93.8%. Next is Parker Messick at 3.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-al-rookie-of-the-year?via=bro
$1.68M in total volume, with $24 traded in the last 24 hours across 46 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kevin McGonigle, priced at 93.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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