As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Pat Murphy at 75.5% in MLB: NL Manager of the Year — $196.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Pat Murphy, is priced at 75.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -9.2 pts; past month: -3.4 pts.
Since March 26, 2026, Pat Murphy has traded between 1.8% and 84.9%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 75.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 74.2% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 82.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 84.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.0% |
Pat Murphy is favored at 75.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Murphy | 76¢ | 75.5% | +0.5 pts | $27.8K | 14.1% |
| Walt Weiss | 23¢ | 23.0% | -1.0 pts | $35.1K | 17.9% |
| Craig Stammen | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $3.4K | 1.7% |
| Carlos Mendoza | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $23.3K | 11.8% |
| Rob Thomson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $57.9K | 29.5% |
| Don Mattingly | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $424 | 0.2% |
| Andy Green | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $452 | 0.2% |
| Torey Lovullo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.5K | 1.3% |
| Craig Counsell | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.8K | 0.9% |
| Terry Francona | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $4.0K | 2.0% |
| Warren Schaeffer | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.1K | 2.6% |
| Clayton McCullough | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $7.2K | 3.7% |
| Don Kelly | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.8K | 0.9% |
| Tony Vitello | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.3K | 1.2% |
| Oliver Marmol | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $17.5K | 8.9% |
| Dave Roberts | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.8K | 0.9% |
| Blake Butera | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $4.3K | 2.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$196.7K has been traded on this event in total, $327 of it in the last 24 hours, across 21 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,168 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other-Pumpkinseed-Crumb | Yes | 4,168 | $3.1K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,375 | $827 |
| Wide-Prospect | No | 1,878 | $460 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 649 | $159 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | Yes | 600 | $453 |
| Frosty-Jogging-Pea | Yes | 422 | $319 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 393 | $297 |
| andy29 | Yes | 305 | $230 |
| Sparkling-Filly | No | 249 | $61 |
| Loving-Programming | No | 203 | $50 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.4% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.4% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 09:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 09:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $31 |
| Oct 23, 10:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.9% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 09:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.8% | $21 |
| Oct 23, 02:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 73.5% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Pat Murphy at 75.5%. Next is Walt Weiss at 23.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-nl-manager-of-the-year?via=bro
$196.7K in total volume, with $327 traded in the last 24 hours across 21 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Pat Murphy, priced at 75.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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