Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

MLB: Outstanding DH Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yordan Alvarez at 96.8% in MLB: Outstanding DH Winner — $37.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Yordan Alvarez
97%
A 96.8% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.9 pts30D +4.2 pts
Yordan Alvarez96.8%
Christian Yelich1.1%
Bid
95¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since March 26, 2026: 5.0% – 98.0% · Opened at 32.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
MLB: Outstanding DH Winner
Category
baseball, MLB, Sports, Awards, DH
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$37.0K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$11.8K
Markets
44
Leading outcome
Yordan Alvarez — 96.8%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yordan Alvarez, is priced at 96.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.9 pts; past month: +4.2 pts.

Since March 26, 2026, Yordan Alvarez has traded between 5.0% and 98.0%. It opened at 32.5% and last traded at 96.8%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202698.0%
Oct 18, 202698.0%
Oct 19, 202698.0%
Oct 20, 202696.5%
Oct 23, 202696.8%
Oct 24, 202696.8%
Oct 24, 202696.8%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yordan Alvarez is favored at 96.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yordan Alvarez97¢96.8%—$3.9K10.6%
Christian Yelich1¢1.1%+0.7 pts$9432.5%
Samuel Basallo1¢0.9%+0.6 pts$6921.9%
Miguel Andujar1¢0.8%+0.4 pts$6951.9%
Kerry Carpenter1¢0.8%+0.1 pts$1.6K4.3%
Eugenio Suarez1¢0.7%—$3.8K10.3%
Starling Marte1¢0.7%—$1.0K2.8%
George Springer1¢0.6%—$7.7K20.8%
Mark Vientos1¢0.6%—$4961.3%
Marcell Ozuna0¢0.5%—$8502.3%
Ryan O'Hearn0¢0.4%—$6751.8%
Joc Pederson0¢0.4%-0.1 pts$8282.2%
Giancarlo Stanton0¢0.4%—$4.6K12.4%
Brent Rooker0¢0.3%-0.1 pts$7792.1%
Ivan Herrera0¢0.3%-0.1 pts$6161.7%
Brett Baty0¢0.3%—$8192.2%
Shohei Ohtani0¢0.1%—$1.0K2.7%
Yandy Diaz0¢0.1%—$5251.4%
Mickey Moniak0¢0.1%—$6051.6%
Jarren Duran0¢0.1%—$6541.8%
Kyle Schwarber0¢0.1%—$1.8K4.8%
Salvador Perez0¢0.1%—$5731.5%
Jurickson Profar0¢0.1%—$6111.6%
Nick Castellanos0¢0.1%—$6091.6%
Mike Trout0¢0.1%—$3551.0%
James Wood0¢0.1%—$2790.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$37.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 44 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 720 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No720$23
Loathsome-OxYes370$358
Attached-Example-AnesthesiologistYes300$290
Snappy-RoosterNo177$6
Vacant-LiterateYes129$124
0xef97d61b…Yes87$84
Strict-BlindYes45$43
JonnyAYes36$35
0x74174513…Yes30$29
Sweltering-Passion-FragranceNo30$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $282 at 94.0%SELL No — $57 at 99.7%SELL No — $41 at 99.8%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 03:41 AM ETNoSELL99.7%$57
Oct 16, 05:40 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$2
Oct 16, 05:40 PM ETNoBUY99.8%$2
Oct 16, 05:40 PM ETNoBUY2.6%$0
Oct 16, 05:40 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$14
Oct 16, 05:40 PM ETNoBUY99.8%$14
Oct 16, 05:40 PM ETNoBUY2.6%$0
Oct 16, 02:31 PM ETNoSELL99.8%$25
Oct 16, 12:26 PM ETNoSELL99.8%$41
Oct 11, 09:41 AM ETYesSELL97.2%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of MLB: Outstanding DH Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yordan Alvarez at 96.8%. Next is Christian Yelich at 1.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-outstanding-dh-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on MLB: Outstanding DH Winner?

$37.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 44 markets.

When does MLB: Outstanding DH Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of MLB: Outstanding DH Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Yordan Alvarez, priced at 96.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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