Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Noah Eile at 17.8% in MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year — $924.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.6K.
Leading outcome
Noah Eile
18%
A 17.8% price implies roughly a 18-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +17.7 pts7D +17.6 pts30D +17.0 pts
Noah Eile17.8%
Joakim Nilsson9.9%
Bid
0¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
35¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since February 20, 2026: 0.1% – 50.0% · Opened at 9.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
Category
MLS, Soccer, Sports
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$924.6K
Volume (24h)
$1.6K
Liquidity
$20.6K
Markets
111
Leading outcome
Noah Eile — 17.8%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Noah Eile, is priced at 17.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +17.7 pts; past week: +17.6 pts; past month: +17.0 pts.

Since February 20, 2026, Noah Eile has traded between 0.1% and 50.0%. It opened at 9.0% and last traded at 10.2%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 20260.2%
Oct 18, 20260.2%
Oct 19, 20260.1%
Oct 20, 20260.1%
Oct 22, 20260.1%
Oct 23, 20260.1%
Oct 24, 202610.2%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Noah Eile is favored at 17.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Noah Eile18¢17.8%+17.7 pts$5340.1%
Joakim Nilsson10¢9.9%-3.0 pts$6.0K0.7%
Rodrigues5¢4.8%+0.7 pts$23.7K2.6%
Walker Zimmerman5¢4.8%+0.2 pts$2.0K0.2%
Robert Voloder4¢4.5%+3.5 pts$5470.1%
Adilson Malanda4¢3.7%+0.1 pts$3500.0%
Joel Waterman4¢3.6%+0.1 pts$3330.0%
Birk Risa4¢3.5%+0.4 pts$1620.0%
Nkosi Tafari3¢3.0%+0.2 pts$2740.0%
Tomás Avilés3¢3.0%+0.3 pts$3970.0%
Dave Romney3¢2.8%+0.1 pts$2210.0%
Zac McGraw3¢2.8%+0.2 pts$91.5K9.9%
Micael3¢2.7%+0.6 pts$3900.0%
David Brekalo2¢1.9%-0.2 pts$388.3K42.0%
Mauricio Pineda2¢1.9%+0.4 pts$3040.0%
Tristan Blackmon2¢1.8%—$6960.1%
Michael Boxall2¢1.6%+0.4 pts$2710.0%
Dany Rosero1¢1.2%—$5.4K0.6%
Andreas Maxsø1¢1.2%+0.2 pts$3080.0%
Tim Parker1¢1.2%-0.1 pts$4460.0%
Lucas Bartlett1¢1.2%—$8.6K0.9%
Jack Maher1¢1.1%+0.1 pts$2880.0%
Daniel Munie1¢1.1%+0.2 pts$3880.0%
Gabriele Corbo1¢1.0%+0.4 pts$3.5K0.4%
Carlos Terán1¢0.9%+0.1 pts$2310.0%
Aaron Long1¢0.9%—$5370.1%
Eddie Segura1¢0.9%+0.1 pts$2730.0%
Andrés Reyes1¢0.9%+0.2 pts$3.1K0.3%
Kamal Miller1¢0.9%+0.1 pts$3420.0%
Jakob Glesnes1¢0.9%—$347.4K37.6%
Yevhen Cheberko1¢0.8%+0.1 pts$2940.0%
Lalas Abubakar1¢0.8%+0.1 pts$2330.0%
Jackson Ragen1¢0.7%—$13.0K1.4%
Brendan Hines-Ike1¢0.7%+0.1 pts$3680.0%
Marcelo Silva1¢0.7%+0.1 pts$2430.0%
Miles Robinson1¢0.7%+0.2 pts$2880.0%
Ranko Veselinović1¢0.7%—$2560.0%
Oleksandr Svatok1¢0.7%-0.2 pts$3660.0%
Andrew Privett1¢0.6%+0.1 pts$4790.1%
Kevin Long0¢0.5%+0.1 pts$2890.0%
Christopher McVey0¢0.4%—$2210.0%
Miguel Tapias0¢0.4%—$8.4K0.9%
Henry Kessler0¢0.4%—$2270.0%
Donovan Pines0¢0.4%-0.1 pts$3220.0%
Erik Sviatchenko0¢0.4%—$2710.0%
Matt Miazga0¢0.4%—$3720.0%
Maximiliano Falcón0¢0.4%—$2380.0%
Jalen Neal0¢0.3%—$2380.0%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade0¢0.2%—$3240.0%
Thiago Martins0¢0.2%—$2510.0%
Stian Gregersen0¢0.2%—$2580.0%
Enea Mihaj0¢0.2%—$3630.0%
Rudy Camacho0¢0.2%—$4570.0%
Jack Elliott0¢0.2%—$2400.0%
Sebastien Ibeagha0¢0.2%—$3350.0%
Sigurd Rosted0¢0.2%—$4430.0%
Robin Jansson0¢0.1%—$5.0K0.5%
Justen Glad0¢0.1%—$2400.0%
Sean Nealis0¢0.1%—$3040.0%
Maya Yoshida0¢0.1%—$3.5K0.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 35¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$924.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 111 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 537 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No537$441
Mindless-DegradationYes266$47
Snarling-Inspection-ExternalYes150$27
Bulky-EavesdropperYes60$11
Grown-FenceYes25$4
Eager-ResearchYes20$4
Mortified-WetlandYes10$2
0xba2c9e74…Yes3$1
Easy-Going-LevelYes2$0

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $9.8K at 99.3%SELL No — $5.9K at 99.1%SELL No — $5.8K at 99.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 04:48 AM ETYesSELL1.9%$1
Oct 19, 02:50 AM ETYesBUY2.2%$1
Oct 14, 04:26 AM ETYesSELL0.6%$0
Oct 14, 04:25 AM ETYesSELL1.5%$0
Oct 14, 04:24 AM ETYesSELL2.1%$1
Oct 14, 04:23 AM ETYesBUY0.5%$0
Sep 30, 05:33 PM ETYesSELL0.8%$0
Sep 30, 05:32 PM ETYesSELL0.8%$0
Sep 30, 05:32 PM ETYesSELL0.8%$0
Sep 29, 01:32 PM ETYesSELL1.0%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Noah Eile at 17.8%. Next is Joakim Nilsson at 9.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mls-2026-defender-of-the-year?via=bro

How much money has been traded on MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year?

$924.6K in total volume, with $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 111 markets.

When does MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year, according to Polymarket traders?

Noah Eile, priced at 17.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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