As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Lionel Messi at 97.2% in MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner — $979.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Lionel Messi, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +1.8 pts; past month: +33.9 pts.
Since February 18, 2026, Lionel Messi has traded between 21.0% and 97.2%. It opened at 53.5% and last traded at 97.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.1% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.2% |
Lionel Messi is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 97¢ | 97.2% | +0.1 pts | $38.4K | 3.9% |
| Petar Musa | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.1 pts | $14.8K | 1.5% |
| Kévin Denkey | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $2.5K | 0.3% |
| Hugo Cuypers | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.6 pts | $5.1K | 0.5% |
| Sam Surridge | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $4.0K | 0.4% |
| Milan Iloski | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $4.4K | 0.5% |
| Denis Bouanga | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $3.0K | 0.3% |
| Alonso Martínez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.2K | 0.3% |
| Brian White | 0¢ | 0.1% | -1.7 pts | $4.7K | 0.5% |
| Evander | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.0K | 0.3% |
| Hany Mukhtar | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.4K | 0.2% |
| Martín Ojeda | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.0K | 0.2% |
| Prince-Osei Owusu | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $14.4K | 1.5% |
| Anders Dreyer | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $589 | 0.1% |
| Tadeo Allende | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $237.0K | 24.2% |
| Dejan Joveljić | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.8K | 0.3% |
| Tai Baribo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $29.8K | 3.0% |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $460.5K | 47.0% |
| Danny Musovski | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $376 | 0.0% |
| Diego Rossi | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $261 | 0.0% |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $368 | 0.0% |
| Djordje Mihailovic | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $269 | 0.0% |
| Albert Rusnák | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $68.2K | 7.0% |
| Idan Toklomati | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $333 | 0.0% |
| Marco Pašalić | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $241 | 0.0% |
| Germán Berterame | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $76.0K | 7.8% |
| Cheikh Sabaly | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $368 | 0.0% |
| Louis Munteanu | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $493 | 0.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$979.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 59 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,116 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sore-Role | Yes | 6,116 | $5.9K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,318 | $93 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 752 | $21 |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 668 | $19 |
| Unlined-Pole | No | 505 | $14 |
| Feline-Asparagus | Yes | 396 | $385 |
| Playful-Lycra | No | 361 | $10 |
| Same-Greatness-Jute | No | 341 | $10 |
| Sizzling-Scallion | No | 284 | $8 |
| Fixed-Insurrection-Flicker | Yes | 252 | $245 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 02:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $394 |
| Oct 08, 01:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 08, 01:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 08, 01:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $5 |
| Sep 28, 03:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $20 |
| Sep 28, 03:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $220 |
| Sep 28, 03:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $28 |
| Sep 28, 03:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $220 |
| Sep 28, 03:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $20 |
| Sep 28, 03:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $28 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Lionel Messi at 97.2%. Next is Petar Musa at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mls-2026-golden-boot-winner?via=bro
$979.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 59 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Lionel Messi, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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