As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Lionel Messi at 92.7% in MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player — $85.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Lionel Messi, is priced at 92.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +19.7 pts.
Since February 18, 2026, Lionel Messi has traded between 5.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 33.5% and last traded at 92.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 92.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 92.7% |
Lionel Messi is favored at 92.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 93¢ | 92.7% | — | $16.7K | 19.6% |
| Luis Suárez | 1¢ | 1.5% | -1.7 pts | $2.4K | 2.8% |
| Petar Musa | 1¢ | 1.1% | -0.9 pts | $2.8K | 3.2% |
| Son Heung-min | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $15.1K | 17.8% |
| Carles Gil | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $928 | 1.1% |
| Martin Ojeda | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $22.4K | 26.3% |
| Sergio Busquets | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $2.0K | 2.3% |
| Evander | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.6K | 3.0% |
| Diego Luna | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $10.8K | 12.6% |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $3.9K | 4.5% |
| Denis Bouanga | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $774 | 0.9% |
| Emil Forsberg | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $757 | 0.9% |
| Dejan Joveljic | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $709 | 0.8% |
| Sam Surridge | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.8K | 2.1% |
| Anders Dreyer | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 1.3% |
| Thomas Müller | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $509 | 0.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$85.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 41 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Landon Donovan Most Valuable Player. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,113 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,113 | $82 |
| Incredible-Restroom | Yes | 778 | $721 |
| Attached-Schedule | Yes | 582 | $539 |
| Faraway-Cravat | Yes | 456 | $422 |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 450 | $33 |
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | Yes | 385 | $357 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 248 | $18 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 232 | $17 |
| Aching-Nasal | Yes | 232 | $215 |
| 0x7799bc3a… | Yes | 189 | $175 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 01:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.5% | $37 |
| Oct 21, 09:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.5% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 07:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 02:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.5% | $5 |
| Oct 16, 02:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $13 |
| Oct 15, 11:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.5% | $12 |
| Oct 15, 04:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.3% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 04:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.7% | $37 |
| Oct 15, 04:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.3% | $4 |
| Oct 13, 11:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.3% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Lionel Messi at 92.7%. Next is Luis Suárez at 1.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mls-2026-most-valuable-player?via=bro
$85.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 41 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Lionel Messi, priced at 92.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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