As of October 24, 2026, 09:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Atlanta United FC at 99.5% in Atlanta United FC vs. Chicago Fire FC - First Team to Score — $10 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Atlanta United FC, is priced at 99.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +54.5 pts; past week: +49.0 pts.
Since October 11, 2026, Atlanta United FC has traded between 45.0% and 50.0%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 45.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 45.0% |
Atlanta United FC is favored at 99.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | 100¢ | 99.5% | +54.5 pts | $5 | 50.0% |
| Chicago Fire FC | 0¢ | 0.5% | -48.5 pts | $5 | 50.0% |
| Neither | 0¢ | 0.5% | -3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 99¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10 has been traded on this event in total, $10 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:30 PM ET.
In the upcoming match between Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta United FC" if Atlanta United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Fire FC" if Chicago Fire FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wry-Real-Voting | Yes | 5 | $5 |
| Writhing-Retention | No | 5 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Atlanta United FC at 99.5%. Next is Chicago Fire FC at 0.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mls-atl-chi-2026-10-24-first-to-score?via=bro
$10 in total volume, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:30 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores.
Atlanta United FC, priced at 99.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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