Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

MLS Cup Winner 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Vancouver Whitecaps FC at 18.4% in MLS Cup Winner 2026 — $23.10M traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $273.
Leading outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
18%
A 18.4% price implies roughly a 18-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +2.1 pts30D −1.9 pts
Vancouver Whitecaps FC18.4%
Nashville SC18.3%
Bid
18¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since February 19, 2026: 2.9% – 22.7% · Opened at 15.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
MLS Cup Winner 2026
Category
MLS, Sports, Soccer
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$23.10M
Volume (24h)
$273
Liquidity
$682.8K
Markets
30
Leading outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps FC — 18.4%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Vancouver Whitecaps FC, is priced at 18.4%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.1 pts; past month: -1.9 pts.

Since February 19, 2026, Vancouver Whitecaps FC has traded between 2.9% and 22.7%. It opened at 15.0% and last traded at 18.4%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202615.6%
Oct 18, 202620.1%
Oct 19, 202619.0%
Oct 20, 202618.4%
Oct 22, 202618.4%
Oct 23, 202618.4%
Oct 24, 202618.4%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Vancouver Whitecaps FC is favored at 18.4%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Vancouver Whitecaps FC18¢18.4%—$407.1K1.8%
Nashville SC18¢18.3%+0.1 pts$346.4K1.5%
Inter Miami CF16¢16.5%—$133.4K0.6%
St. Louis City SC7¢7.0%-0.1 pts$107.4K0.5%
Philadelphia Union7¢6.7%+0.8 pts$250.6K1.1%
FC Dallas5¢5.0%—$101.5K0.4%
Chicago Fire FC5¢4.9%—$255.9K1.1%
Los Angeles FC4¢3.8%—$59.2K0.3%
Houston Dynamo FC4¢3.7%—$489.6K2.1%
New England Revolution3¢3.1%—$68.8K0.3%
San Jose Earthquakes3¢2.8%+0.1 pts$1.19M5.1%
Charlotte FC3¢2.6%—$2.04M8.8%
Seattle Sounders FC2¢1.7%—$872.5K3.8%
Orlando City SC1¢1.4%+0.1 pts$2.37M10.3%
FC Cincinnati1¢1.1%—$1.61M7.0%
Colorado Rapids1¢0.6%—$143.4K0.6%
LA Galaxy1¢0.6%+0.1 pts$333.2K1.4%
Toronto FC1¢0.6%+0.1 pts$109.2K0.5%
New York Red Bulls0¢0.4%—$1.24M5.4%
New York City FC0¢0.2%-0.1 pts$713.5K3.1%
Columbus Crew0¢0.2%—$3.24M14.0%
San Diego FC0¢0.1%—$1.24M5.4%
D.C. United0¢0.1%—$543.3K2.4%
Portland Timbers0¢0.1%—$1.36M5.9%
Atlanta United FC0¢0.1%—$103.9K0.4%
Austin FC0¢0.1%—$137.1K0.6%
Minnesota United FC0¢0.1%—$496.9K2.2%
CF Montréal0¢0.1%—$63.1K0.3%
Real Salt Lake0¢0.1%—$2.96M12.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 18¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$23.10M has been traded on this event in total, $273 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 29,523 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No29,523$24.1K
Informal-Index-DiscoveryYes11,441$2.1K
Aggravating-ForgeryYes5,860$1.1K
Enchanted-PlaintiffYes3,766$693
Prickly-EyrieYes3,535$651
Serpentine-DialogueYes2,000$368
Euphoric-HectareYes1,973$363
Grown-ExposureNo1,820$1.5K
Ironclad-SupervisorNo1,376$1.1K
Worthwhile-HockeyNo792$646

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $13.4K at 99.9%SELL No — $13.4K at 99.9%SELL No — $13.4K at 99.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 06:04 PM ETYesBUY1.4%$0
Oct 21, 09:12 PM ETNoSELL99.7%$35
Oct 21, 09:56 AM ETYesBUY0.2%$1
Oct 21, 09:21 AM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Oct 21, 09:20 AM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Oct 19, 10:04 AM ETNoBUY99.7%$9
Oct 19, 10:04 AM ETNoBUY99.7%$5
Oct 19, 10:04 AM ETNoBUY98.7%$8
Oct 19, 10:04 AM ETNoBUY98.7%$5
Oct 19, 10:04 AM ETNoBUY99.7%$7

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of MLS Cup Winner 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Vancouver Whitecaps FC at 18.4%. Next is Nashville SC at 18.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mls-cup-winner-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on MLS Cup Winner 2026?

$23.10M in total volume, with $273 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.

When does MLS Cup Winner 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of MLS Cup Winner 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

Vancouver Whitecaps FC, priced at 18.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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