As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.2% in Modi out by December 31, 2026? — $427.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +0.7 pts; past month: -2.6 pts.
Since November 13, 2025, No has traded between 81.5% and 96.9%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 96.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.2% |
No is favored at 96.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.2% | -0.2 pts | $427.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.2 pts | $427.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$427.8K has been traded on this event in total, $2.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 44,708 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avaricious-Notation | Yes | 44,708 | $1.7K |
| Flashy-Label | No | 29,133 | $28.0K |
| Breakable-Pot | Yes | 15,953 | $614 |
| Mediocre-Wren | Yes | 10,325 | $398 |
| Clumsy-Supply | No | 10,143 | $9.8K |
| Unripe-Capon | No | 7,700 | $7.4K |
| Stupendous-Tangerine | Yes | 7,556 | $291 |
| Punctual-Sand | No | 6,167 | $5.9K |
| Flawed-Gale-Hundred | No | 4,887 | $4.7K |
| Ripe-Marten-Staff | Yes | 4,670 | $180 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.2% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 12:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.4% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 08:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 06:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.3% | $69 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 10:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 12:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.8% | $100 |
| Oct 23, 12:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.2%. Next is Yes at 3.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/modi-out-before-2027?via=bro
$427.8K in total volume, with $2.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.2% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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