As of October 24, 2026, 06:35 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.5% in Modi out by June 30, 2027? — $48.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts.
Since October 10, 2026, No has traded between 83.5% and 91.0%. It opened at 83.5% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.5% |
No is favored at 89.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90¢ | 89.5% | — | $48.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $48.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$48.1K has been traded on this event in total, $733 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,071 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glorious-Memory | No | 5,071 | $4.5K |
| Abandoned-Cloakroom | Yes | 3,568 | $375 |
| Blaring-Surge | No | 2,050 | $1.8K |
| Nutritious-Blame | Yes | 2,000 | $210 |
| Shameless-Workout-Orchard | Yes | 1,906 | $200 |
| Pointed-Nit | No | 1,038 | $929 |
| Sniveling-Manacle | No | 1,000 | $895 |
| Inferior-Widow | Yes | 1,000 | $105 |
| Upset-Suede | No | 710 | $635 |
| Everlasting-Breadcrumb | No | 700 | $626 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 02:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 11:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $445 |
| Oct 24, 07:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 09:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $33 |
| Oct 22, 08:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 06:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $35 |
| Oct 21, 09:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.5%. Next is Yes at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/modi-out-by-june-30-2027?via=bro
$48.1K in total volume, with $733 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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