As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 10.5% in Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...? — $61.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 10.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: -2.5 pts.
Since July 10, 2026, December 31 has traded between 10.5% and 32.0%. It opened at 27.5% and last traded at 10.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 10.5% |
December 31 is favored at 10.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 10¢ | 10.5% | -0.5 pts | $27.6K | 44.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$61.4K has been traded on this event in total, $27 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,000 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hateful-Generation | Yes | 5,000 | $525 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke | No | 3,642 | $3.3K |
| Smart-Pathway | No | 2,000 | $1.8K |
| Naive-Soulmate | No | 1,594 | $1.4K |
| Sentimental-Investigation | Yes | 962 | $101 |
| Small-Pompom | No | 951 | $851 |
| Unfit-Coleslaw | Yes | 890 | $93 |
| Joint-Entrepreneur-Luncheonette | Yes | 334 | $35 |
| Creative-Diction | Yes | 299 | $31 |
| Optimal-Root | Yes | 296 | $31 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 06:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $12 |
| Oct 21, 06:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $12 |
| Oct 21, 05:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $26 |
| Oct 21, 05:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 05:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 05:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 03:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 02:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 02:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.5% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mohammed-ghalibaf-out-as-speaker-of-iran-parliament-byptptpt-20260709235401297?via=bro
$61.4K in total volume, with $27 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 10.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.