As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Marc Marquez at 91.5% in MotoGP World Champion (2026) — $30.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Marc Marquez, is priced at 91.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +19.5 pts; past week: +16.0 pts; past month: +32.0 pts.
Since August 28, 2026, Marc Marquez has traded between 32.5% and 91.5%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 91.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 91.5% |
Marc Marquez is favored at 91.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Marquez | 92¢ | 91.5% | +19.5 pts | $8.8K | 28.8% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rider T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jorge Martin | 5¢ | 5.0% | -17.0 pts | $7.9K | 25.8% |
| Fabio Di Giannantonio | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $1.9K | 6.1% |
| Marco Bezzecchi | 0¢ | 0.2% | -2.9 pts | $4.1K | 13.3% |
| Ai Ogura | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $800 | 2.6% |
| Raul Fernandez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $371 | 1.2% |
| Pedro Acosta | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $193 | 0.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30.5K has been traded on this event in total, $3.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 28 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.motogp.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,422 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,422 | $206 |
| Sore-Role | Yes | 2,367 | $2.2K |
| Tempting-Corps | Yes | 616 | $564 |
| Grumpy-Eel | Yes | 527 | $483 |
| Expensive-Struggle | Yes | 297 | $272 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 296 | $25 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 289 | $25 |
| Frosty-Jogging-Pea | No | 205 | $17 |
| Rubbery-Policy | No | 149 | $13 |
| Profitable-Family | Yes | 117 | $107 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 10:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.3% | $58 |
| Oct 24, 09:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.5% | $69 |
| Oct 24, 06:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.4% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Marc Marquez at 91.5%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/motogp-world-champion-2026?via=bro
$30.5K in total volume, with $3.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 28 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.motogp.com.
Marc Marquez, priced at 91.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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