As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 70.0% in Muse on Meta glasses by...? — $6.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 70.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: +22.5 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, December 31 has traded between 34.0% and 71.5%. It opened at 71.5% and last traded at 70.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 41.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 70.0% |
December 31 is favored at 70.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 70¢ | 70.0% | +4.0 pts | $3.4K | 53.6% |
| October 31 | 20¢ | 20.3% | +14.6 pts | $2.9K | 46.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 78¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.3K has been traded on this event in total, $181 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
At Meta Connect on September 23, 2026, Meta announced that Muse, its personal AI agent, would come to its AI glasses in the coming months (see: https://about.fb.com/news/2026/09/the-biggest-news-from-connect-2026/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes Muse available on any of its AI glasses by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Muse will be considered available on Meta's AI glasses if Meta releases a feature allowing users to give instructions to their Muse personal AI agent through the glasses. A qualifying release must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or a gradual rollout. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to paid subscription plans or to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 377 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Partial-Ninja | Yes | 377 | $264 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 200 | $60 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 163 | $114 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 92 | $28 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 49 | $15 |
| Potable-Bathhouse | No | 40 | $12 |
| Sniveling-Developmental-Lantern | No | 40 | $12 |
| Oval-High-Gate | No | 20 | $6 |
| Required-Horn | No | 20 | $6 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 20 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:09 PM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 04:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 11:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.5% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 05:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.6% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 05:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 07:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 31.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 01:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 31.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 70.0%. Next is October 31 at 20.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/muse-on-meta-glasses-by?via=bro
$6.3K in total volume, with $181 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 70.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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