As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Hsu Shu-hua at 95.0% in Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner — $6.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Hsu Shu-hua, is priced at 95.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.8 pts; past month: -1.1 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Hsu Shu-hua has traded between 88.5% and 96.2%. It opened at 88.5% and last traded at 95.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.0% |
Hsu Shu-hua is favored at 95.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hsu Shu-hua | 95¢ | 95.0% | -0.1 pts | $4.8K | 77.8% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wen Shih-cheng | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.4 pts | $1.4K | 22.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 439 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 439 | $417 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 248 | $13 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 243 | $231 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 225 | $11 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp | Yes | 123 | $117 |
| Teeming-Puppet | No | 115 | $6 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 52 | $3 |
| Insidious-Meteor | No | 40 | $2 |
| Sweltering-Passion-Fragrance | No | 35 | $2 |
| 0x46299616… | No | 30 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 11:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.8% | $19 |
| Oct 21, 02:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.9% | $5 |
| Oct 06, 07:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.3% | $106 |
| Sep 26, 02:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 95.3% | $10 |
| Sep 24, 04:22 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $117 |
| Sep 24, 04:22 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $80 |
| Sep 24, 04:22 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.1% | $28 |
| Sep 23, 02:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Sep 23, 10:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Sep 23, 10:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Hsu Shu-hua at 95.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nantou-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716700?via=bro
$6.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Hsu Shu-hua, priced at 95.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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