As of October 24, 2026, 07:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 85.0% in Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? — $77.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 85.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.5 pts; past month: -2.5 pts.
Since January 29, 2026, No has traded between 14.5% and 89.5%. It opened at 64.0% and last traded at 85.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.0% |
No is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 85¢ | 85.0% | — | $77.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 15¢ | 15.0% | — | $77.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 22¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$77.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nara Smith announces that she is pregnant between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Nara Smith or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 347 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parallel-Transparency | No | 347 | $295 |
| Frosty-Objective | Yes | 164 | $25 |
| 0x06d7efb6… | No | 160 | $136 |
| 0x535eb7fb… | Yes | 100 | $15 |
| 0xa0ae08e9… | Yes | 100 | $15 |
| Beneficial-Kielbasa | No | 100 | $85 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 86 | $73 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 80 | $12 |
| 0x0c1af420… | No | 59 | $50 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 50 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 02:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $6 |
| Oct 17, 02:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 78.4% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 04:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 12, 04:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.2% | $7 |
| Oct 12, 03:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $4 |
| Oct 09, 06:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 06:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $1 |
| Sep 07, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.5% | $2 |
| Sep 05, 07:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $15 |
| Sep 05, 04:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 85.0%. Next is Yes at 15.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nara-smith-confirmed-pregnant-in-2026?via=bro
$77.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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