As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Driver A at 50.0% in NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion — $70.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Driver A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Driver A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Driver A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larson | 32¢ | 31.6% | -0.2 pts | $5.3K | 7.5% |
| Christopher Bell | 21¢ | 21.1% | -2.5 pts | $2.9K | 4.2% |
| Denny Hamlin | 17¢ | 17.0% | +1.5 pts | $24.9K | 35.2% |
| Chase Briscoe | 13¢ | 12.6% | -1.1 pts | $1.2K | 1.7% |
| Ryan Blaney | 11¢ | 11.3% | +0.9 pts | $12.0K | 17.0% |
| Joey Logano | 8¢ | 7.6% | +1.8 pts | $3.3K | 4.6% |
| Tyler Reddick | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.1 pts | $6.6K | 9.3% |
| Carson Hocevar | 1¢ | 1.2% | +0.1 pts | $1.6K | 2.3% |
| Chase Elliott | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.5 pts | $560 | 0.8% |
| Bubba Wallace | 1¢ | 1.1% | -0.8 pts | $1.3K | 1.8% |
| Ryan Preece | 1¢ | 0.9% | +0.7 pts | $549 | 0.8% |
| William Byron | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.4 pts | $689 | 1.0% |
| Ty Gibbs | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $733 | 1.0% |
| Daniel Suarez | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $438 | 0.6% |
| Austin Cindric | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $617 | 0.9% |
| Chris Buescher | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $441 | 0.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$70.7K has been traded on this event in total, $331 of it in the last 24 hours, across 37 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by NASCAR to determine the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship based on the rules of NASCAR (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NASCAR.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,233 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,233 | $616 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 469 | $234 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 186 | $93 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 180 | $90 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | Yes | 111 | $56 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 100 | $50 |
| Impish-Downfall | Yes | 45 | $22 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 42 | $21 |
| Brown-Destination | Yes | 31 | $16 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 24 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 06:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 08:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 08:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.9% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 08:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $22 |
| Oct 22, 04:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 07:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.5% | $7 |
| Oct 20, 04:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Driver A at 50.0%. Next is Driver B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nascar-cup-series-2026-champion-20260722193936777?via=bro
$70.7K in total volume, with $331 traded in the last 24 hours across 37 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Driver A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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