As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.0% in Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31? — $281 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since August 21, 2026, No has traded between 62.5% and 88.0%. It opened at 62.5% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.0% |
No is favored at 88.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88¢ | 88.0% | — | $281 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $281 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 17¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$281 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 199 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheerful-Ephemera | No | 199 | $175 |
| Shocked-Stadium | Yes | 85 | $10 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 50 | $6 |
| Deep-Director | Yes | 29 | $4 |
| Favorable-Satisfaction | Yes | 29 | $4 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 12 | $1 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 | No | 12 | $10 |
| Wee-Ambience | Yes | 6 | $1 |
| 0x54498e4c… | No | 2 | $2 |
| Thorough-Neighbourhood | Yes | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 11:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 09, 11:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $5 |
| Sep 28, 06:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $5 |
| Sep 21, 02:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $0 |
| Aug 24, 07:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $5 |
| Aug 23, 07:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $1 |
| Aug 23, 12:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $0 |
| Aug 22, 05:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Aug 22, 04:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Aug 22, 04:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $131 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.0%. Next is Yes at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/natalie-harp-out-as-special-assistant-to-the-president-by-december-31?via=bro
$281 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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