Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Oklahoma City Thunder at 22.0% in NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner — $2.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Oklahoma City Thunder
22%
A 22.0% price implies roughly a 22-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.5 pts7D +5.0 pts30D +2.5 pts
Oklahoma City Thunder22.0%
San Antonio Spurs19.5%
Bid
16¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
12¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 19, 2026: 15.0% – 24.5% · Opened at 22.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner
Category
NBA, Sports, NBA Cup, futures, Basketball, NBA Tip-Off
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.3K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$14.3K
Markets
30
Leading outcome
Oklahoma City Thunder — 22.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Oklahoma City Thunder, is priced at 22.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +5.0 pts; past month: +2.5 pts.

Since August 19, 2026, Oklahoma City Thunder has traded between 15.0% and 24.5%. It opened at 22.0% and last traded at 22.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202617.0%
Oct 16, 202617.0%
Oct 18, 202617.0%
Oct 19, 202616.0%
Oct 20, 202616.5%
Oct 22, 202619.5%
Oct 23, 202622.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Oklahoma City Thunder is favored at 22.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Oklahoma City Thunder22¢22.0%-0.5 pts$1265.4%
San Antonio Spurs20¢19.5%—$994.3%
New York Knicks11¢11.0%—$40517.5%
Philadelphia 76ers11¢11.0%+0.5 pts$66428.7%
Boston Celtics10¢9.5%+0.5 pts$1406.0%
Miami Heat7¢7.0%—$1526.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves7¢7.0%—$1727.4%
Detroit Pistons6¢6.0%—$251.1%
Houston Rockets6¢5.8%+1.1 pts$00.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers6¢5.7%+0.1 pts$00.0%
Toronto Raptors6¢5.5%+0.9 pts$1004.3%
Los Angeles Lakers5¢5.3%+0.6 pts$2008.7%
Portland Trail Blazers5¢5.0%—$00.0%
Denver Nuggets5¢4.7%-1.4 pts$1506.5%
Atlanta Hawks5¢4.6%—$00.0%
Golden State Warriors5¢4.6%—$00.0%
Indiana Pacers5¢4.6%—$00.0%
Orlando Magic5¢4.6%+0.1 pts$00.0%
Brooklyn Nets5¢4.5%—$100.4%
Chicago Bulls5¢4.5%—$100.4%
Dallas Mavericks5¢4.5%—$00.0%
Los Angeles Clippers5¢4.5%+0.5 pts$100.4%
Phoenix Suns5¢4.5%—$00.0%
Utah Jazz5¢4.5%—$100.4%
Washington Wizards5¢4.5%—$00.0%
Memphis Grizzlies4¢4.3%+0.2 pts$100.4%
Charlotte Hornets4¢4.1%-0.5 pts$00.0%
Milwaukee Bucks4¢4.0%-0.5 pts$100.4%
New Orleans Pelicans4¢4.0%-0.5 pts$100.4%
Sacramento Kings4¢4.0%-0.5 pts$100.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 16¢ / ask 28¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NBA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 NBA Cup per the rules of the NBA (e.g., elimination), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, or a champion has not been declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve according to official NBA declarations.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 153 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No153$120
Enlightened-FootrestYes83$18
Smug-SnowmanYes52$11
Scholarly-ComplexNo22$18
Mortified-WetlandYes20$4
Naughty-CribbageYes15$3
Exemplary-DecisionmakingYes5$1
Horrible-VideoNo5$4
Accurate-DecoderYes3$1
Playful-LycraYes2$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $51 at 19.0%BUY Yes — $20 at 10.0%BUY Yes — $20 at 18.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 19, 03:21 AM ETYesSELL6.0%$0
Oct 17, 09:50 AM ETNoBUY93.0%$1
Oct 16, 12:42 PM ETYesBUY18.0%$1
Oct 14, 04:51 PM ETNoBUY94.0%$2
Oct 14, 04:25 PM ETNoBUY94.0%$2
Oct 12, 11:39 AM ETYesBUY21.0%$2
Oct 06, 12:39 AM ETYesSELL6.7%$8
Oct 05, 10:57 AM ETYesBUY20.0%$1
Oct 02, 10:37 PM ETYesBUY19.0%$4
Oct 01, 10:17 AM ETYesBUY18.0%$2

Related markets

More NBA

Heat vs. Hornets

Race to 10: Heat 100.0% · 24H VOL $4.72M

Wizards vs. Bulls

Spread -27.5: Bulls 97.7% · 24H VOL $3.35M

Bucks vs. 76ers

Spread -38.5: Bucks 98.6% · 24H VOL $3.09M

Nets vs. Cavaliers

Spread -15.5: Cavaliers 97.7% · 24H VOL $1.72M

Spurs vs. Mavericks

Spread -19.5: Spurs 98.7% · 24H VOL $1.72M

Rockets vs. Hawks

Spread -26.5: Hawks 97.2% · 24H VOL $1.19M

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Oklahoma City Thunder at 22.0%. Next is San Antonio Spurs at 19.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-2026-nba-cup-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner?

$2.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.

When does NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Oklahoma City Thunder, priced at 22.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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