As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Houston Rockets at 97.5% in NBA Free Agency: Fred VanVleet Next Team — $9.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Houston Rockets, is priced at 97.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: +13.0 pts.
Since June 23, 2026, Houston Rockets has traded between 24.5% and 99.7%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 97.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.4% |
Houston Rockets is favored at 97.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 97¢ | 97.5% | +0.1 pts | $2.4K | 24.8% |
| Team A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Miami Heat | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.8 pts | $395 | 4.1% |
| Sacramento Kings | 2¢ | 2.0% | — | $477 | 5.0% |
| Toronto Raptors | 2¢ | 1.9% | +0.4 pts | $297 | 3.1% |
| LA Clippers | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $234 | 2.4% |
| Chicago Bulls | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.4 pts | $273 | 2.9% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $263 | 2.7% |
| New York Knicks | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.2 pts | $267 | 2.8% |
| Washington Wizards | 1¢ | 0.7% | -1.8 pts | $481 | 5.0% |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $334 | 3.5% |
| Atlanta Hawks | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $493 | 5.1% |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $245 | 2.6% |
| Detroit Pistons | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $188 | 2.0% |
| Golden State Warriors | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $283 | 3.0% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $244 | 2.6% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $83 | 0.9% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $96 | 1.0% |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $296 | 3.1% |
| Phoenix Suns | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $55 | 0.6% |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $245 | 2.6% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $230 | 2.4% |
| Boston Celtics | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $140 | 1.5% |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $227 | 2.4% |
| Denver Nuggets | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $186 | 1.9% |
| Indiana Pacers | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $186 | 1.9% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $200 | 2.1% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $254 | 2.6% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $236 | 2.5% |
| Orlando Magic | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $225 | 2.3% |
| Utah Jazz | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $75 | 0.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.6K has been traded on this event in total, $8 of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the next team Fred VanVleet officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Fred VanVleet does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Fred VanVleet joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Fred VanVleet is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 858 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly-Purse | Yes | 858 | $836 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 522 | $13 |
| Reliable-Investigation | Yes | 411 | $400 |
| Great-Platter-Pavement | No | 100 | $3 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 99 | $3 |
| Writhing-Round | No | 96 | $2 |
| Punctual-Sand | Yes | 92 | $90 |
| Spectacular-File | Yes | 84 | $82 |
| Rapid-Precipitation | No | 72 | $2 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 70 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 02:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.7% | $83 |
| Oct 22, 02:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $59 |
| Oct 22, 02:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $82 |
| Oct 21, 04:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 04:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 04:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $20 |
| Oct 21, 04:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $20 |
| Oct 21, 04:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.7% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 02:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Houston Rockets at 97.5%. Next is Team A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-free-agency-fred-vanvleet-next-team-20260622182154276?via=bro
$9.6K in total volume, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Houston Rockets, priced at 97.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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