As of October 24, 2026, 09:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.0% in NBA: LeBron James to Reach 45,000 Career Points in 2026-27? — $1 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.5 pts.
Since October 05, 2026, No has traded between 85.0% and 90.5%. It opened at 85.0% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.0% |
No is favored at 88.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88¢ | 88.0% | — | $1 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $1 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James reaches 45,000 or more career NBA regular season points during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only points scored in NBA regular season games count toward this total, regardless of the team LeBron James plays for. Points scored in the preseason, the NBA Play-In Tournament, the NBA Playoffs, the NBA Cup Championship game, or All-Star events will not count. LeBron James finished the 2025-26 NBA regular season with 43,440 career regular season points. If at any point it becomes impossible for LeBron James to reach 45,000 career regular season points during the 2026-27 NBA regular season, including if he retires, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, or postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, before LeBron James reaches 45,000 career regular season points, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avaricious-Realm | Yes | 1 | $0 |
| Tragic-Leash-Inlay | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05, 02:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.0%. Next is Yes at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-lebron-james-to-reach-45000-career-points-in-2026-27?via=bro
$1 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nba.com/.
No, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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