As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Oklahoma City Thunder at 71.5% in NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Finals — $14.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Oklahoma City Thunder, is priced at 71.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -9.5 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Oklahoma City Thunder has traded between 49.0% and 81.0%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 71.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 71.5% |
Oklahoma City Thunder is favored at 71.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 72¢ | 71.5% | — | $752 | 5.1% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 50¢ | 50.0% | -18.0 pts | $550 | 3.7% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 40¢ | 40.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.4K | 9.3% |
| Houston Rockets | 28¢ | 27.5% | +1.0 pts | $463 | 3.1% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 20¢ | 20.5% | -1.0 pts | $40 | 0.3% |
| Denver Nuggets | 15¢ | 15.0% | — | $58 | 0.4% |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 11¢ | 11.3% | -1.4 pts | $2.1K | 14.6% |
| Phoenix Suns | 7¢ | 7.0% | -0.1 pts | $425 | 2.9% |
| Golden State Warriors | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $51 | 0.3% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.2 pts | $1.9K | 12.7% |
| Utah Jazz | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.4 pts | $189 | 1.3% |
| LA Clippers | 4¢ | 3.8% | -5.7 pts | $1.9K | 13.2% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $647 | 4.4% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 2¢ | 2.4% | +0.1 pts | $2.6K | 17.6% |
| Sacramento Kings | 2¢ | 2.3% | -0.1 pts | $1.6K | 11.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 35¢ (bid 54¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.7K has been traded on this event in total, $157 of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.
This market is scheduled to end May 25, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Finals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Finals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Finals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 117 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt-Poisoning | Yes | 117 | $84 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 45 | $13 |
| Square-Crystal | No | 40 | $11 |
| mskl | No | 29 | $8 |
| Sore-Role | Yes | 20 | $14 |
| Snappy-Councilman | No | 20 | $6 |
| Impure-Descent | No | 16 | $4 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 14 | $10 |
| Thunderous-Clutch | Yes | 5 | $4 |
| 0x13c1a564… | No | 3 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.5% | $10 |
| Oct 15, 02:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.3% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 09:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.0% | $801 |
| Oct 13, 06:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $29 |
| Oct 13, 05:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.3% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 05:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.7% | $19 |
| Oct 11, 06:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 01:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.5% | $53 |
| Oct 09, 12:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.3% | $6 |
| Oct 08, 12:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.6% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Oklahoma City Thunder at 71.5%. Next is San Antonio Spurs at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-playoffs-team-to-advance-to-western-conference-finals?via=bro
$14.7K in total volume, with $157 traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 25, 2027, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nba.com/.
Oklahoma City Thunder, priced at 71.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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